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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-20 01:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,469 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0010), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.41 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 81,066 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 79,620.23 (-1.8%) | 5.6 | 2.2% | 24h | 5.8d ago · 36× | 26% ±14 | 44% ±14 | 10% ±9 | 46% ±14 | 47 | 3% ±2 | 26% ±14 | 52% ±27 | 66% ±42 | 2.8d | 1.52% | 0.91% | 229 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,405.08 (-2.0%) | 6.5 | 2.1% | 13h | 1.2d ago · 58× | 21% ±13 | 44% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 46% ±12 | 65 | 2% ±2 | 21% ±13 | 47% ±28 | 58% ±43 | 3.6d | 1.29% | 0.91% | 222 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 78,329.28–79,055.44 (-2.5%) | 7.8 | 2.8% | 17h | 1.6d ago · 98× | 15% ±7 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 2% ±1 | 15% ±7 | 40% ±17 | 59% ±27 | 4.8d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 550 → 13 | |
| 7D VAH | 78,421.65 (-3.3%) | 10 | 3.1% | 21h | 1.6d ago · 72× | 4% ±11 | 46% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 45% ±11 | 80 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±11 | 32% ±46 | 49% ±69 | > 7d | 1.25% | 1.07% | 77 → 2 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 77,192.36–77,240.05 (-4.7%) | 15 | 4.1% | 2.1d | 4.5d ago · 84× | 2% ±3 | 47% ±9 | 11% ±6 | 42% ±9 | 112 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±3 | 10% ±12 | 33% ±29 | > 7d | 1.32% | 0.96% | 412 → 10 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D POC | 76,489.91–76,554.24 (-5.6%) | 18 | 2.0% | 12h | 3.4d ago · 114× | 2% ±2 | 46% ±8 | 8% ±4 | 46% ±8 | 151 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 9% ±8 | 20% ±16 | > 7d | 1.30% | 1.06% | 1002 → 24 | |
| 14D VAL | 76,173.81 (-6.0%) | 19 | 1.1% | 5h | 19.8d ago · 56× | 1% ±2 | 43% ±11 | 6% ±6 | 51% ±11 | 74 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 9% ±9 | 22% ±20 | > 7d | 1.26% | 1.33% | 693 → 17 | |
| 7D VAL | 75,401.11 (-7.0%) | 22 | 0.5% | 2h | 6.0d ago · 99× | 4% ±6 | 55% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 123 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 14% ±18 | 32% ±37 | > 7d | 1.47% | 1.25% | 263 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.