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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-20 05:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,469 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0010), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.41 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 80,459.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 79,628.38 (-1.0%) | 2.9 | 2.5% | 1.1d | 5.8d ago · 36× | 53% ±17 | 44% ±14 | 10% ±9 | 46% ±14 | 47 | 11% ±4 | 52% ±17 | 84% ±22 | 92% ±24 | 23h | 1.52% | 0.91% | 204 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,405.08 (-1.3%) | 3.6 | 2.4% | 15h | 1.2d ago · 58× | 39% ±15 | 44% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 46% ±12 | 65 | 7% ±3 | 39% ±15 | 69% ±24 | 82% ±31 | 1.6d | 1.29% | 0.91% | 253 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 78,301.16–79,038.5 (-1.8%) | 4.9 | 3.2% | 19h | 1.6d ago · 98× | 26% ±9 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 3% ±1 | 26% ±9 | 51% ±17 | 69% ±23 | 2.9d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 611 → 15 | |
| 7D VAH | 78,491.89 (-2.4%) | 6.8 | 3.6% | 24h | 1.6d ago · 72× | 15% ±13 | 46% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 45% ±11 | 80 | 2% ±2 | 14% ±13 | 43% ±31 | 59% ±48 | 3.8d | 1.25% | 1.07% | 173 → 4 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 77,192.36–77,232.02 (-4.0%) | 11 | 4.7% | 2.3d | 4.5d ago · 84× | 5% ±5 | 47% ±9 | 11% ±6 | 42% ±9 | 112 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±5 | 19% ±15 | 40% ±29 | > 7d | 1.32% | 0.96% | 482 → 11 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D POC | 76,489.91–76,531.55 (-4.9%) | 13 | 2.2% | 14h | 3.4d ago · 114× | 3% ±2 | 46% ±8 | 8% ±4 | 46% ±8 | 151 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±2 | 12% ±8 | 25% ±17 | > 7d | 1.30% | 1.06% | 1070 → 25 | |
| 14D VAL | 76,173.81 (-5.3%) | 15 | 1.2% | 6h | 19.8d ago · 56× | 2% ±2 | 43% ±11 | 6% ±6 | 51% ±11 | 74 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±9 | 25% ±18 | > 7d | 1.26% | 1.33% | 926 → 22 | |
| 7D VAL | 75,330.87 (-6.4%) | 18 | 0.4% | 1h | 6.0d ago · 99× | 3% ±4 | 55% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 123 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 15% ±15 | 33% ±29 | > 7d | 1.47% | 1.25% | 404 → 10 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.