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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-20 09:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 80,437.4 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 79,628.38 (-1.0%) | 2.7 | 2.6% | 1.1d | 5.8d ago · 36× | 53% ±17 | 44% ±14 | 10% ±9 | 46% ±14 | 47 | 12% ±4 | 52% ±17 | 84% ±22 | 92% ±23 | 22h | 1.52% | 0.91% | 196 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,405.08 (-1.3%) | 3.5 | 2.5% | 15h | 1.3d ago · 58× | 40% ±15 | 44% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 46% ±12 | 65 | 7% ±3 | 40% ±15 | 71% ±24 | 83% ±30 | 1.6d | 1.29% | 0.91% | 245 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 78,301.16–79,038.5 (-1.7%) | 4.7 | 3.3% | 20h | 1.7d ago · 98× | 28% ±9 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 3% ±1 | 27% ±9 | 52% ±17 | 69% ±23 | 2.8d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 611 → 15 | |
| 7D VAH | 78,562.14 (-2.3%) | 6.3 | 3.6% | 24h | 1.7d ago · 72× | 17% ±13 | 46% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 45% ±11 | 80 | 2% ±2 | 17% ±13 | 45% ±31 | 60% ±48 | 3.7d | 1.25% | 1.07% | 186 → 4 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 77,192.36–77,232.02 (-4.0%) | 11 | 4.9% | 2.4d | 4.6d ago · 84× | 5% ±5 | 47% ±9 | 11% ±6 | 42% ±9 | 112 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±5 | 20% ±15 | 40% ±28 | > 7d | 1.32% | 0.96% | 486 → 12 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D POC | 76,489.91–76,531.55 (-4.9%) | 13 | 2.1% | 14h | 3.5d ago · 114× | 3% ±2 | 46% ±8 | 8% ±4 | 46% ±8 | 151 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±2 | 12% ±8 | 26% ±17 | > 7d | 1.30% | 1.06% | 1070 → 25 | |
| 14D VAL | 76,103.56 (-5.4%) | 15 | 1.1% | 5h | 19.9d ago · 56× | 2% ±2 | 43% ±11 | 6% ±6 | 51% ±11 | 74 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±9 | 26% ±18 | > 7d | 1.26% | 1.33% | 935 → 22 | |
| 7D VAL | 75,260.63 (-6.4%) | 17 | 0.3% | 38m | 6.1d ago · 99× | 3% ±4 | 55% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 123 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 15% ±15 | 33% ±29 | > 7d | 1.47% | 1.25% | 413 → 10 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.