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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-21 09:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 84,626 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 82,172.32–83,728.66 (-1.1%) | 1.6 | 0.2% | 14m | 7.2d ago · 46× | 62% ±17 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 28% ±6 | 62% ±17 | 81% ±23 | 91% ±25 | 12h | 1.21% | 1.22% | 190 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 82,172.32 (-2.9%) | 4.4 | 0.2% | 24m | 1.8d ago · 72× | 26% ±13 | 46% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 45% ±11 | 80 | 5% ±3 | 26% ±13 | 53% ±26 | 66% ±38 | 2.8d | 1.25% | 1.07% | 256 → 6 | |
| 7D POC | 81,186.64 (-4.1%) | 6.2 | 3.7% | 1.3d | 3.6d ago · 114× | 16% ±8 | 46% ±8 | 8% ±4 | 45% ±8 | 151 | 2% ±1 | 16% ±8 | 46% ±19 | 66% ±28 | 3.7d | 1.26% | 0.97% | 460 → 11 | |
| 30D VAH | 79,889.69 (-5.6%) | 8.5 | 3.5% | 1.4d | 5.9d ago · 36× | 6% ±7 | 44% ±14 | 10% ±9 | 46% ±14 | 47 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±7 | 21% ±22 | 42% ±43 | > 7d | 1.52% | 0.91% | 228 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 76,880.76–79,474.66 (-6.1%) | 9.3 | 4.8% | 1.5d | 1.8d ago · 98× | 11% ±7 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±7 | 33% ±18 | 54% ±28 | 5.9d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 483 → 12 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,267.15 (-6.3%) | 9.6 | 5.2% | 1.2d | 1.4d ago · 58× | 8% ±11 | 44% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 46% ±12 | 65 | 1% ±2 | 8% ±11 | 24% ±28 | 41% ±48 | > 7d | 1.29% | 0.91% | 153 → 4 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 77,140.15–77,243.91 (-8.7%) | 13 | 7.6% | 3.7d | 4.7d ago · 84× | 3% ±4 | 47% ±9 | 11% ±6 | 42% ±9 | 112 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±4 | 12% ±13 | 34% ±29 | > 7d | 1.32% | 0.96% | 439 → 10 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL | 76,258.23–76,465.74 (-9.6%) | 15 | 3.4% | 23h | 6.2d ago · 99× | 2% ±2 | 52% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 42% ±9 | 123 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 12% ±8 | 25% ±17 | > 7d | 1.45% | 1.26% | 1086 → 26 | |
| 14D VAL | 75,739.45 (-10.5%) | 16 | 2.0% | 14h | 20.0d ago · 56× | 2% ±2 | 43% ±11 | 6% ±6 | 51% ±11 | 74 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 10% ±8 | 24% ±18 | > 7d | 1.26% | 1.33% | 864 → 21 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.