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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-21 13:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 85,430 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 81,990.31–84,169.05 (-1.5%) | 2.0 | 0.4% | 38m | 7.1d ago · 46× | 54% ±18 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 20% ±6 | 54% ±18 | 76% ±26 | 88% ±32 | 19h | 1.21% | 1.22% | 177 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 80,900.94 (-5.3%) | 7.1 | 3.9% | 23h | 1.7d ago · 72× | 13% ±12 | 46% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 45% ±11 | 80 | 1% ±2 | 13% ±12 | 40% ±30 | 57% ±49 | 4.0d | 1.25% | 1.07% | 174 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH | 79,920.5 (-6.4%) | 8.6 | 3.8% | 1.5d | 5.9d ago · 36× | 6% ±7 | 44% ±14 | 10% ±9 | 46% ±14 | 47 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±7 | 20% ±22 | 41% ±43 | > 7d | 1.52% | 0.91% | 228 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 76,761.33–79,484.75 (-7.0%) | 9.3 | 5.5% | 1.8d | 1.7d ago · 98× | 11% ±7 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±7 | 33% ±18 | 54% ±28 | 5.9d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 484 → 12 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,375.82 (-7.1%) | 9.4 | 5.6% | 1.4d | 1.3d ago · 58× | 9% ±11 | 44% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 46% ±12 | 65 | 1% ±2 | 9% ±11 | 25% ±28 | 41% ±48 | > 7d | 1.29% | 0.91% | 155 → 4 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 77,142.61–77,251.55 (-9.6%) | 13 | 8.3% | 4.0d | 4.6d ago · 84× | 4% ±4 | 47% ±9 | 11% ±6 | 42% ±9 | 112 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±4 | 14% ±13 | 35% ±28 | > 7d | 1.32% | 0.96% | 447 → 11 | |
| 7D POC · 30D VAL | 76,434.52–76,488.99 (-10.5%) | 14 | 3.9% | 1.1d | 3.5d ago · 114× | 3% ±2 | 46% ±8 | 8% ±4 | 46% ±8 | 151 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±2 | 12% ±8 | 25% ±17 | > 7d | 1.30% | 1.06% | 1089 → 26 | |
| 14D VAL | 75,671.96 (-11.4%) | 15 | 2.0% | 13h | 20.0d ago · 56× | 2% ±2 | 43% ±11 | 6% ±6 | 51% ±11 | 74 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±9 | 25% ±18 | > 7d | 1.26% | 1.33% | 899 → 21 | |
| 7D VAL | 74,909.4 (-12.3%) | 16 | 0.1% | 6m | 6.1d ago · 99× | 3% ±4 | 55% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 123 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 16% ±14 | 33% ±28 | > 7d | 1.47% | 1.25% | 456 → 11 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.