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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-21 17:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,469 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0010), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.41 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 85,854.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 84,282.49–84,511.1 (-1.6%) | 2.0 | 0.4% | 1h | 6.9d ago · 46× | 53% ±18 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 18% ±6 | 53% ±18 | 76% ±27 | 87% ±33 | 20h | 1.21% | 1.22% | 177 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 81,081.92 (-5.6%) | 7.1 | 4.5% | 1.5d | 1.5d ago · 72× | 13% ±12 | 46% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 45% ±11 | 80 | 1% ±2 | 13% ±12 | 40% ±30 | 57% ±49 | 4.0d | 1.25% | 1.07% | 175 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH | 79,938.86 (-6.9%) | 8.8 | 3.8% | 1.5d | 5.7d ago · 36× | 6% ±7 | 44% ±14 | 10% ±9 | 46% ±14 | 47 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±7 | 19% ±21 | 41% ±43 | > 7d | 1.52% | 0.91% | 229 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 76,852.6–79,710.25 (-7.2%) | 9.1 | 5.5% | 2.3d | 1.5d ago · 98× | 12% ±7 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±7 | 35% ±18 | 55% ±28 | 5.6d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 500 → 12 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,367.33 (-7.6%) | 9.6 | 5.8% | 1.5d | 1.1d ago · 58× | 8% ±11 | 44% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 46% ±12 | 65 | 1% ±2 | 8% ±11 | 24% ±28 | 41% ±48 | > 7d | 1.29% | 0.91% | 155 → 4 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 77,138.37–77,252.67 (-10.0%) | 13 | 8.4% | 4.0d | 4.4d ago · 84× | 4% ±4 | 47% ±9 | 11% ±6 | 42% ±9 | 112 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±4 | 14% ±14 | 36% ±28 | > 7d | 1.32% | 0.96% | 449 → 11 | |
| 7D POC · 30D VAL | 76,395.38–76,452.53 (-11.0%) | 14 | 3.9% | 1.1d | 3.3d ago · 114× | 3% ±2 | 46% ±8 | 8% ±4 | 46% ±8 | 151 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±2 | 12% ±8 | 25% ±17 | > 7d | 1.30% | 1.06% | 1090 → 26 | |
| 14D VAL | 75,480.93 (-12.1%) | 15 | 1.3% | 6h | 19.8d ago · 56× | 2% ±2 | 43% ±11 | 6% ±6 | 51% ±11 | 74 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 10% ±8 | 24% ±18 | > 7d | 1.26% | 1.33% | 893 → 21 | |
| 7D VAL | 74,909.4 (-12.7%) | 16 | 0.1% | 7m | 5.9d ago · 99× | 3% ±4 | 55% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 123 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 16% ±14 | 33% ±28 | > 7d | 1.47% | 1.25% | 469 → 11 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.