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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-22 05:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 85,377.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 84,390.93–84,515.69 (-1.0%) | 1.2 | 0.5% | 1h | 7.1d ago · 46× | 70% ±16 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 39% ±7 | 69% ±16 | 86% ±21 | 93% ±22 | 8h | 1.21% | 1.22% | 190 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 81,396.76 (-4.7%) | 5.6 | 2.8% | 1.0d | 1.7d ago · 72× | 20% ±13 | 46% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 45% ±11 | 80 | 3% ±2 | 20% ±13 | 47% ±27 | 62% ±43 | 3.4d | 1.25% | 1.07% | 230 → 5 | |
| 30D VAH | 80,024.44 (-6.3%) | 7.5 | 3.4% | 1.2d | 5.8d ago · 36× | 12% ±10 | 44% ±14 | 10% ±9 | 46% ±14 | 47 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±10 | 30% ±24 | 49% ±40 | > 7d | 1.52% | 0.91% | 250 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 76,656–79,774.92 (-6.6%) | 7.8 | 5.4% | 2.3d | 1.7d ago · 98× | 15% ±7 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 2% ±1 | 15% ±7 | 40% ±17 | 59% ±26 | 4.8d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 568 → 14 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,650.17 (-6.7%) | 8.0 | 5.9% | 2.3d | 1.3d ago · 58× | 12% ±11 | 44% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 46% ±12 | 65 | 1% ±2 | 12% ±11 | 35% ±28 | 50% ±44 | > 7d | 1.29% | 0.91% | 200 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 77,217.4 (-9.6%) | 11 | 8.4% | 3.9d | 4.6d ago · 84× | 4% ±5 | 47% ±9 | 11% ±6 | 42% ±9 | 112 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±4 | 17% ±14 | 38% ±29 | > 7d | 1.32% | 0.96% | 482 → 11 | |
| 7D POC · 30D VAL | 76,281.73–76,468.86 (-10.4%) | 12 | 3.9% | 1.2d | 3.5d ago · 114× | 3% ±3 | 46% ±8 | 8% ±4 | 46% ±8 | 151 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 13% ±9 | 28% ±18 | > 7d | 1.30% | 1.06% | 1061 → 25 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 74,909.4–75,034.16 (-12.1%) | 14 | 0.3% | 28m | 6.1d ago · 99× | 3% ±2 | 50% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 44% ±9 | 123 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±2 | 13% ±9 | 29% ±19 | > 7d | 1.39% | 1.28% | 958 → 23 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.