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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-22 09:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 86,211.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 84,390.93–84,515.69 (-2.0%) | 2.8 | 0.4% | 1h | 7.1d ago · 46× | 39% ±16 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 12% ±4 | 38% ±16 | 66% ±27 | 80% ±35 | 1.8d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 216 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 81,521.52 (-5.4%) | 7.7 | 1.5% | 11h | 1.7d ago · 72× | 12% ±13 | 46% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 45% ±11 | 80 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±12 | 36% ±31 | 54% ±49 | 4.6d | 1.25% | 1.07% | 159 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 80,024.44–80,273.95 (-6.9%) | 9.8 | 2.9% | 17h | 1.3d ago · 58× | 6% ±8 | 44% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 46% ±12 | 65 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±8 | 20% ±23 | 41% ±43 | > 7d | 1.39% | 0.91% | 222 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 76,656–79,774.92 (-7.5%) | 11 | 4.6% | 1.9d | 1.7d ago · 98× | 8% ±6 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±6 | 29% ±18 | 50% ±30 | > 7d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 444 → 11 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 77,217.4 (-10.4%) | 15 | 7.3% | 3.5d | 4.6d ago · 84× | 2% ±3 | 47% ±9 | 11% ±6 | 42% ±9 | 112 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±3 | 10% ±12 | 32% ±29 | > 7d | 1.32% | 0.96% | 430 → 10 | |
| 7D POC · 30D VAL | 76,281.73–76,468.86 (-11.3%) | 16 | 3.2% | 23h | 3.5d ago · 114× | 2% ±2 | 46% ±8 | 8% ±4 | 46% ±8 | 151 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 10% ±8 | 22% ±16 | > 7d | 1.30% | 1.06% | 1062 → 25 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 74,909.4 (-13.1%) | 19 | 0.1% | 5m | 6.1d ago · 99× | 2% ±2 | 50% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 44% ±9 | 123 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 10% ±9 | 25% ±20 | > 7d | 1.39% | 1.28% | 736 → 18 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.