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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-22 13:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 86,309.7 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 84,390.93–84,515.69 (-2.1%) | 3.1 | 0.4% | 1h | 7.0d ago · 46× | 37% ±15 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 11% ±4 | 36% ±15 | 61% ±26 | 77% ±34 | 2.0d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 232 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 82,145.31 (-4.8%) | 7.3 | 0.2% | 28m | 1.7d ago · 72× | 13% ±13 | 46% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 45% ±11 | 80 | 1% ±2 | 13% ±12 | 38% ±32 | 55% ±49 | 4.3d | 1.25% | 1.07% | 168 → 4 | |
| 7D POC | 81,209.63 (-5.9%) | 8.9 | 3.6% | 1.3d | 3.5d ago · 114× | 7% ±6 | 46% ±8 | 8% ±4 | 45% ±8 | 151 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±6 | 36% ±20 | 54% ±31 | 5.6d | 1.26% | 0.97% | 403 → 10 | |
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 80,149.19–80,398.71 (-6.8%) | 10 | 3.0% | 18h | 1.3d ago · 58× | 5% ±7 | 44% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 46% ±12 | 65 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±7 | 17% ±21 | 38% ±42 | > 7d | 1.39% | 0.91% | 214 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 76,780.75–79,899.68 (-7.4%) | 11 | 3.4% | 1.4d | 1.7d ago · 98× | 8% ±6 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±6 | 29% ±18 | 50% ±31 | > 7d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 427 → 10 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 77,217.4 (-10.5%) | 16 | 6.8% | 3.3d | 4.5d ago · 84× | 2% ±3 | 47% ±9 | 11% ±6 | 42% ±9 | 112 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±3 | 10% ±12 | 33% ±29 | > 7d | 1.32% | 0.96% | 413 → 10 | |
| 30D VAL | 76,281.73 (-11.6%) | 17 | 2.3% | 15h | 19.4d ago · 37× | 1% ±2 | 46% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 8% ±7 | 17% ±15 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.28% | 1023 → 24 | |
| 7D VAL | 75,283.67 (-12.8%) | 19 | 0.6% | 2h | 6.0d ago · 99× | 3% ±5 | 55% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 123 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 13% ±15 | 31% ±30 | > 7d | 1.47% | 1.25% | 359 → 9 | |
| 14D VAL | 74,909.4 (-13.2%) | 20 | 0.1% | 5m | 19.9d ago · 56× | 1% ±2 | 43% ±11 | 6% ±6 | 51% ±11 | 74 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 9% ±9 | 21% ±20 | > 7d | 1.26% | 1.33% | 678 → 16 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.