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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-22 17:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,467 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.42 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 86,527.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 84,266.18–84,515.69 (-2.3%) | 3.5 | 0.4% | 1h | 6.8d ago · 46× | 32% ±14 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 8% ±3 | 32% ±14 | 55% ±25 | 70% ±37 | 2.5d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 262 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 83,642.39 (-3.3%) | 5.0 | 0.2% | 11m | 1.5d ago · 72× | 22% ±13 | 46% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 45% ±11 | 80 | 4% ±2 | 22% ±13 | 49% ±26 | 64% ±38 | 3.2d | 1.25% | 1.07% | 247 → 6 | |
| 7D POC | 81,209.63 (-6.1%) | 9.3 | 3.6% | 1.3d | 3.3d ago · 114× | 7% ±6 | 46% ±8 | 8% ±4 | 45% ±8 | 151 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±6 | 35% ±20 | 52% ±31 | 5.9d | 1.26% | 0.97% | 403 → 10 | |
| 14D VAH | 80,648.22 (-6.8%) | 10 | 2.7% | 12h | 1.3d ago · 58× | 7% ±10 | 44% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 46% ±12 | 65 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±10 | 21% ±28 | 37% ±47 | > 7d | 1.29% | 0.91% | 152 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH | 80,273.95 (-7.2%) | 11 | 2.7% | 16h | 5.6d ago · 36× | 4% ±7 | 44% ±14 | 10% ±9 | 46% ±14 | 47 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±7 | 15% ±20 | 38% ±43 | > 7d | 1.52% | 0.91% | 213 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 76,780.75–79,899.68 (-7.7%) | 12 | 3.4% | 1.4d | 1.5d ago · 98× | 7% ±6 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±6 | 29% ±18 | 48% ±31 | > 7d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 406 → 10 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 77,217.4 (-10.8%) | 16 | 6.5% | 3.2d | 4.3d ago · 84× | 1% ±3 | 47% ±9 | 11% ±6 | 42% ±9 | 112 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 10% ±12 | 33% ±29 | > 7d | 1.32% | 0.96% | 406 → 10 | |
| 30D VAL | 76,281.73 (-11.8%) | 18 | 2.3% | 15h | 19.2d ago · 37× | 1% ±2 | 46% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±7 | 17% ±15 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.28% | 1018 → 24 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 74,909.4 (-13.4%) | 20 | 0.1% | 5m | 5.8d ago · 99× | 2% ±3 | 50% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 44% ±9 | 123 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±3 | 10% ±10 | 25% ±21 | > 7d | 1.39% | 1.28% | 656 → 16 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.