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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-23 09:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,405 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 2,806.76 (+2.7%) | 3.6 | <0.1% | 7m | 1.1d ago · 97× | 33% ±8 | 52% ±9 | 4% ±4 | 43% ±9 | 119 | 6% ±2 | 33% ±8 | 56% ±14 | 75% ±18 | 2.1d | 2.27% | 1.61% | 894 → 21 | |
| 7D POC | 2,742.7 (+0.4%) | 0.5 | 1.8% | 12h | 3.1d ago · 103× | 87% ±8 | 46% ±8 | 8% ±5 | 46% ±8 | 141 | 72% ±4 | 87% ±8 | 92% ±11 | 95% ±13 | 1h | 2.08% | 1.45% | 427 → 10 | |
| at post · 2,732.45 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 2,653.2–2,716.43 (-0.6%) | 0.8 | 0.6% | 2h | 13.5d ago · 46× | 78% ±15 | 53% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 55 | 48% ±7 | 78% ±15 | 86% ±22 | 89% ±30 | 5h | 2.38% | 1.67% | 187 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,622.36 (-4.0%) | 5.4 | 1.3% | 11h | 10.9d ago · 55× | 16% ±10 | 56% ±12 | 7% ±6 | 37% ±12 | 65 | 1% ±1 | 16% ±10 | 42% ±23 | 57% ±37 | 4.1d | 2.15% | 1.89% | 310 → 7 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,526.74 (-7.5%) | 10 | 2.9% | 22h | 4.4d ago · 38× | 4% ±6 | 38% ±14 | 16% ±10 | 46% ±14 | 47 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 18% ±18 | 27% ±33 | > 7d | 1.63% | 1.50% | 300 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 2,431.9–2,526.74 (-7.5%) | 10 | 2.9% | 22h | 1.8d ago · 84× | 5% ±5 | 48% ±9 | 23% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 132 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±5 | 17% ±14 | 27% ±25 | > 7d | 1.91% | 1.51% | 483 → 12 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D POC · 30D POC | 2,506.42–2,515.2 (-8.0%) | 11 | 6.0% | 1.9d | 1.4d ago · 84× | 5% ±4 | 53% ±9 | 10% ±5 | 37% ±9 | 122 | 1% ±0 | 5% ±4 | 17% ±10 | 34% ±20 | > 7d | 2.09% | 1.35% | 885 → 21 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,391.25 (-12.5%) | 17 | 2.7% | 17h | 20.1d ago · 30× | 2% ±2 | 54% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±7 | 19% ±16 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.37% | 1046 → 25 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,379.49 (-12.9%) | 17 | 1.5% | 7h | 4.3d ago · 58× | 1% ±2 | 48% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 48% ±11 | 77 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 8% ±8 | 20% ±18 | > 7d | 2.16% | 1.75% | 766 → 18 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.