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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-23 13:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,405 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 2,784.67 (+2.6%) | 3.4 | 0.2% | 1h | 1.2d ago · 97× | 36% ±8 | 52% ±9 | 4% ±4 | 43% ±9 | 119 | 7% ±2 | 36% ±8 | 59% ±14 | 78% ±18 | 1.8d | 2.27% | 1.61% | 861 → 21 | |
| 7D POC | 2,742.7 (+1.0%) | 1.4 | 1.9% | 11h | 3.2d ago · 103× | 71% ±11 | 46% ±8 | 8% ±5 | 46% ±8 | 141 | 41% ±5 | 71% ±11 | 85% ±14 | 91% ±18 | 6h | 2.08% | 1.45% | 427 → 10 | |
| at post · 2,714.97 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 2,653.2–2,711.92 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 0.7% | 2h | 13.6d ago · 46× | 86% ±16 | 53% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 55 | 67% ±9 | 86% ±16 | 91% ±23 | 92% ±31 | 1h | 2.38% | 1.67% | 107 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,626.86 (-3.2%) | 4.4 | 1.4% | 13h | 11.0d ago · 55× | 22% ±12 | 56% ±12 | 7% ±6 | 37% ±12 | 65 | 3% ±2 | 22% ±12 | 50% ±25 | 64% ±36 | 3.0d | 2.15% | 1.89% | 276 → 7 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,550.54 (-6.1%) | 8.1 | 0.9% | 2h | 4.2d ago · 84× | 10% ±5 | 57% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 36% ±9 | 119 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±5 | 28% ±12 | 45% ±19 | > 7d | 2.27% | 1.31% | 1048 → 25 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,531.26 (-6.8%) | 9.1 | 2.4% | 16h | 4.4d ago · 38× | 4% ±5 | 38% ±14 | 16% ±10 | 46% ±14 | 47 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 19% ±19 | 31% ±34 | > 7d | 1.63% | 1.50% | 298 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 2,431.9–2,522.23 (-7.1%) | 9.5 | 3.6% | 1.2d | 1.8d ago · 84× | 6% ±5 | 48% ±9 | 23% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 132 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±5 | 18% ±14 | 29% ±26 | > 7d | 1.91% | 1.51% | 502 → 12 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 2,506.42–2,512.17 (-7.5%) | 10 | 6.8% | 2.2d | 1.5d ago · 84× | 5% ±4 | 51% ±9 | 12% ±6 | 37% ±9 | 122 | 0% ±0 | 5% ±4 | 17% ±13 | 36% ±26 | > 7d | 1.99% | 1.37% | 561 → 13 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,391.25 (-11.9%) | 16 | 2.7% | 17h | 20.2d ago · 30× | 2% ±2 | 54% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 9% ±7 | 20% ±16 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.37% | 1066 → 25 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,379.49 (-12.4%) | 17 | 1.5% | 7h | 4.3d ago · 58× | 1% ±2 | 48% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 48% ±11 | 77 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 9% ±9 | 22% ±19 | > 7d | 2.16% | 1.75% | 811 → 19 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.