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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-23 17:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,404 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0037), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 2,780.25 (+4.2%) | 5.0 | 0.4% | 3h | 1.5d ago · 97× | 24% ±6 | 52% ±9 | 4% ±4 | 43% ±9 | 119 | 3% ±1 | 24% ±6 | 45% ±13 | 64% ±19 | 3.5d | 2.27% | 1.61% | 1043 → 25 | |
| 7D POC | 2,742.7 (+2.8%) | 3.3 | 2.1% | 13h | 3.0d ago · 103× | 34% ±10 | 46% ±8 | 8% ±5 | 46% ±8 | 141 | 7% ±2 | 34% ±10 | 57% ±19 | 71% ±27 | 2.1d | 2.08% | 1.45% | 472 → 11 | |
| at post · 2,667.01 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 2,635.85 (-1.2%) | 1.4 | 1.6% | 16h | 10.8d ago · 55× | 73% ±14 | 56% ±12 | 7% ±6 | 37% ±12 | 65 | 38% ±6 | 73% ±14 | 85% ±20 | 86% ±31 | 8h | 2.15% | 1.89% | 224 → 5 | |
| LVN zone | 2,589.97–2,603.52 (-2.4%) | 2.8 | 1.0% | 3h | 13.4d ago · 46× | 46% ±15 | 53% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 55 | 11% ±4 | 47% ±15 | 63% ±24 | 66% ±38 | 1.3d | 2.38% | 1.67% | 272 → 6 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,572.63 (-3.5%) | 4.1 | 1.4% | 9h | 4.0d ago · 84× | 27% ±7 | 57% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 36% ±9 | 119 | 5% ±1 | 27% ±7 | 51% ±13 | 63% ±20 | 2.9d | 2.27% | 1.31% | 978 → 23 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,531.26 (-5.1%) | 6.0 | 2.6% | 17h | 4.2d ago · 38× | 9% ±8 | 38% ±14 | 16% ±10 | 46% ±14 | 47 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±8 | 32% ±23 | 50% ±37 | 6.8d | 1.63% | 1.50% | 283 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 2,431.9–2,522.23 (-5.4%) | 6.4 | 3.8% | 1.3d | 1.7d ago · 84× | 15% ±7 | 48% ±9 | 23% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 132 | 3% ±1 | 15% ±7 | 34% ±16 | 46% ±26 | > 7d | 1.91% | 1.51% | 578 → 14 | |
| 30D POC | 2,506.42 (-6.0%) | 7.0 | 8.3% | 2.6d | 1.3d ago · 72× | 17% ±8 | 54% ±10 | 9% ±6 | 37% ±10 | 95 | 2% ±1 | 17% ±8 | 38% ±18 | 56% ±28 | 5.4d | 2.14% | 1.12% | 493 → 12 | |
| 14D POC | 2,471.69 (-7.3%) | 8.6 | 7.6% | 2.6d | 1.3d ago · 84× | 8% ±6 | 48% ±9 | 14% ±6 | 38% ±9 | 122 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±6 | 23% ±15 | 44% ±27 | > 7d | 1.86% | 1.57% | 552 → 13 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 2,379.49–2,386.73 (-10.5%) | 12 | 2.5% | 15h | 4.2d ago · 58× | 3% ±2 | 50% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 45% ±11 | 77 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 13% ±8 | 29% ±17 | > 7d | 2.45% | 1.61% | 1139 → 27 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.