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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-23 21:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,406 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 2,781.56 (+3.9%) | 4.6 | 0.4% | 3h | 1.3d ago · 97× | 27% ±7 | 52% ±9 | 4% ±4 | 43% ±9 | 119 | 4% ±1 | 26% ±7 | 48% ±13 | 68% ±19 | 3.2d | 2.27% | 1.61% | 1021 → 24 | |
| 7D POC | 2,741.66 (+2.4%) | 2.9 | 2.1% | 13h | 3.3d ago · 103× | 39% ±11 | 46% ±8 | 8% ±5 | 46% ±8 | 141 | 9% ±3 | 39% ±11 | 63% ±19 | 75% ±27 | 1.6d | 2.08% | 1.45% | 430 → 10 | |
| at post · 2,676.29 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 2,640.35 (-1.3%) | 1.6 | 1.5% | 13h | 11.2d ago · 55× | 69% ±15 | 56% ±12 | 7% ±6 | 37% ±12 | 65 | 30% ±6 | 69% ±15 | 83% ±21 | 86% ±31 | 11h | 2.15% | 1.89% | 221 → 5 | |
| LVN zone | 2,589.97–2,603.52 (-2.7%) | 3.2 | 1.0% | 3h | 13.7d ago · 46× | 39% ±14 | 53% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 55 | 9% ±3 | 40% ±14 | 57% ±24 | 60% ±36 | 1.9d | 2.38% | 1.67% | 286 → 7 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,584.17 (-3.4%) | 4.0 | 1.2% | 7h | 4.3d ago · 84× | 28% ±7 | 57% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 36% ±9 | 119 | 5% ±1 | 28% ±7 | 52% ±13 | 64% ±20 | 2.8d | 2.27% | 1.31% | 979 → 23 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,531.26 (-5.4%) | 6.4 | 2.6% | 17h | 4.6d ago · 38× | 9% ±8 | 38% ±14 | 16% ±10 | 46% ±14 | 47 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±8 | 30% ±22 | 46% ±37 | > 7d | 1.63% | 1.50% | 287 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 2,431.9–2,522.23 (-5.8%) | 6.8 | 3.8% | 1.3d | 2.0d ago · 84× | 12% ±7 | 48% ±9 | 23% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 132 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±7 | 29% ±16 | 41% ±27 | > 7d | 1.91% | 1.51% | 566 → 13 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 2,506.42–2,512.17 (-6.1%) | 7.2 | 7.4% | 2.4d | 1.6d ago · 84× | 15% ±7 | 51% ±9 | 12% ±6 | 37% ±9 | 122 | 2% ±1 | 14% ±7 | 34% ±17 | 54% ±27 | 6.0d | 1.99% | 1.37% | 556 → 13 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 2,379.49–2,386.73 (-10.8%) | 13 | 2.5% | 15h | 4.5d ago · 58× | 2% ±2 | 50% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 45% ±11 | 77 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 13% ±8 | 28% ±17 | > 7d | 2.45% | 1.61% | 1146 → 27 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.