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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-09-24 17:30 UTC
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S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 7,780.47 (+1.0%) | 3.8 | 0.8% | 55m | 4.4d ago · 71× | 12% ±11 | 24% ±8 | 44% ±10 | 32% ±9 | 100 | 2% ±2 | 12% ±10 | 25% ±25 | 56% ±44 | 6.8d | 0.37% | 0.20% | 221 → 5 | |
| 7D POC | 7,767.6 (+0.8%) | 3.1 | 5.4% | 6h | 4.7d ago · 78× | 23% ±17 | 29% ±9 | 35% ±10 | 36% ±10 | 91 | 3% ±3 | 22% ±16 | 39% ±34 | 66% ±46 | 4.8d | 0.44% | 0.35% | 147 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH | 7,732.79 (+0.3%) | 1.3 | 2.5% | 4h | 6.7d ago · 49× | 45% ±19 | 28% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 31% ±12 | 58 | 27% ±7 | 45% ±20 | 66% ±33 | 79% ±40 | 1.2d | 0.45% | 0.23% | 152 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 7,713.58 (+0.1%) | 0.4 | 6.7% | 12h | 4.6d ago · 66× | 75% ±16 | 32% ±10 | 40% ±11 | 28% ±10 | 82 | 59% ±8 | 76% ±16 | 84% ±24 | 90% ±30 | 2h | 0.42% | 0.19% | 163 → 4 | |
| at post · 7,706.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 7,661.45–7,686.14 (-0.3%) | 1.0 | 5.4% | 7h | 4.6d ago · 62× | 67% ±16 | 26% ±9 | 26% ±9 | 49% ±10 | 91 | 47% ±7 | 67% ±15 | 81% ±22 | 89% ±28 | 18h | 0.43% | 0.46% | 216 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D POC | 7,671.05–7,677.47 (-0.4%) | 1.5 | 7.5% | 13h | 4.4d ago · 67× | 50% ±18 | 24% ±9 | 34% ±10 | 42% ±10 | 85 | 25% ±6 | 51% ±18 | 65% ±30 | 80% ±39 | 1.3d | 0.54% | 0.52% | 181 → 4 | |
| 14D POC | 7,635.38 (-0.9%) | 3.6 | 9.5% | 13h | 4.6d ago · 63× | 13% ±15 | 22% ±9 | 39% ±11 | 39% ±11 | 74 | 3% ±3 | 13% ±15 | 35% ±35 | 64% ±54 | 5.0d | 0.45% | 0.33% | 120 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,612.05 (-1.2%) | 4.8 | 2.9% | 5h | 5.7d ago · 41× | 11% ±11 | 22% ±11 | 41% ±13 | 37% ±13 | 51 | 3% ±3 | 11% ±11 | 28% ±28 | 42% ±48 | > 7d | 0.69% | 0.55% | 181 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,576.38 (-1.7%) | 6.6 | 2.2% | 2h | 6.4d ago · 58× | 9% ±10 | 23% ±10 | 37% ±12 | 40% ±12 | 67 | 1% ±2 | 9% ±10 | 27% ±26 | 43% ±43 | > 7d | 0.55% | 0.45% | 203 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.