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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-09-24 13:30 UTC
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S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 7,780.47 (+1.2%) | 4.6 | 0.8% | 54m | 4.6d ago · 71× | 6% ±8 | 24% ±8 | 44% ±10 | 32% ±9 | 100 | 0% ±1 | 5% ±8 | 17% ±22 | 51% ±44 | 7.0d | 0.37% | 0.20% | 200 → 5 | |
| 7D POC | 7,767.6 (+1.0%) | 4.0 | 5.4% | 6h | 4.8d ago · 78× | 15% ±15 | 29% ±9 | 35% ±10 | 36% ±10 | 91 | 1% ±2 | 15% ±15 | 30% ±34 | 62% ±55 | 5.1d | 0.44% | 0.35% | 129 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 7,713.58 (+0.3%) | 1.2 | 6.3% | 12h | 4.7d ago · 66× | 51% ±17 | 30% ±10 | 40% ±11 | 29% ±10 | 82 | 32% ±6 | 51% ±17 | 68% ±28 | 81% ±34 | 1.0d | 0.43% | 0.20% | 203 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 7,705.35–7,724.56 (+0.2%) | 0.8 | 3.8% | 6h | 4.8d ago · 65× | 67% ±16 | 30% ±10 | 34% ±10 | 36% ±10 | 83 | 47% ±7 | 67% ±15 | 80% ±23 | 86% ±30 | 18h | 0.54% | 0.35% | 213 → 5 | |
| at post · 7,690.02 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 7,661.45–7,686.14 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 4.8% | 6h | 4.7d ago · 62× | 79% ±15 | 26% ±9 | 26% ±9 | 48% ±10 | 90 | 61% ±7 | 79% ±15 | 89% ±20 | 92% ±26 | 1h | 0.43% | 0.46% | 163 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 7,668.31 (-0.3%) | 1.1 | 9.4% | 17h | 4.6d ago · 48× | 64% ±22 | 28% ±12 | 31% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 55 | 45% ±9 | 64% ±22 | 79% ±32 | 84% ±42 | 18h | 0.51% | 0.53% | 114 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D POC | 7,635.38–7,641.42 (-0.6%) | 2.5 | 8.9% | 11h | 4.7d ago · 67× | 24% ±14 | 22% ±9 | 38% ±10 | 41% ±10 | 85 | 10% ±4 | 24% ±14 | 45% ±27 | 68% ±41 | 4.0d | 0.51% | 0.43% | 227 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 7,570.89–7,576.38 (-1.5%) | 5.8 | 2.3% | 2h | 5.8d ago · 58× | 9% ±10 | 23% ±10 | 39% ±12 | 39% ±12 | 67 | 2% ±2 | 9% ±10 | 27% ±25 | 40% ±43 | > 7d | 0.61% | 0.49% | 209 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.