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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-09-23 20:00 UTC
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S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 7,780.47 (+1.0%) | 4.2 | 0.7% | 48m | 4.6d ago · 71× | 9% ±9 | 24% ±8 | 44% ±10 | 32% ±9 | 100 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±9 | 22% ±23 | 54% ±44 | 6.9d | 0.37% | 0.20% | 218 → 5 | |
| 7D POC | 7,767.6 (+0.8%) | 3.5 | 5.1% | 5h | 4.8d ago · 78× | 18% ±16 | 29% ±9 | 35% ±10 | 36% ±10 | 91 | 2% ±2 | 18% ±16 | 35% ±33 | 64% ±54 | 5.0d | 0.44% | 0.35% | 138 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 7,713.58 (+0.1%) | 0.4 | 5.9% | 11h | 6.8d ago · 49× | 77% ±18 | 28% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 31% ±12 | 58 | 57% ±8 | 77% ±17 | 85% ±26 | 89% ±35 | 2h | 0.45% | 0.23% | 131 → 3 | |
| at post · 7,706.03 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 7,705.35 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 3.5% | 6h | 12.8d ago · 40× | 76% ±26 | 18% ±12 | 47% ±15 | 36% ±14 | 42 | 66% ±12 | 76% ±26 | 86% ±39 | 92% | 1h | 0.37% | 0.24% | 57 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 7,661.45–7,686.14 (-0.3%) | 1.1 | 3.9% | 6h | 4.7d ago · 62× | 65% ±16 | 26% ±9 | 26% ±9 | 48% ±10 | 90 | 44% ±7 | 64% ±16 | 79% ±23 | 87% ±30 | 19h | 0.43% | 0.46% | 207 → 5 | |
| 30D POC | 7,668.31 (-0.5%) | 2.1 | 8.4% | 16h | 4.6d ago · 48× | 33% ±26 | 28% ±12 | 31% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 55 | 10% ±7 | 33% ±26 | 59% ±48 | 72% ±62 | 2.8d | 0.51% | 0.53% | 79 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D POC | 7,635.38–7,641.42 (-0.8%) | 3.6 | 8.2% | 10h | 4.7d ago · 67× | 14% ±10 | 22% ±9 | 38% ±10 | 41% ±10 | 85 | 4% ±3 | 14% ±10 | 33% ±24 | 59% ±39 | 5.9d | 0.51% | 0.43% | 261 → 6 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,576.38 (-1.7%) | 7.3 | 2.1% | 2h | 5.8d ago · 41× | 7% ±8 | 22% ±11 | 41% ±13 | 37% ±13 | 51 | 2% ±2 | 7% ±8 | 17% ±21 | 26% ±38 | > 7d | 0.69% | 0.55% | 211 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,507.77 (-2.6%) | 11 | <0.1% | 3m | 6.5d ago · 58× | 5% ±8 | 23% ±10 | 37% ±12 | 40% ±12 | 67 | 3% ±3 | 5% ±8 | 16% ±24 | 27% ±44 | > 7d | 0.55% | 0.45% | 162 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.