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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-09-23 17:30 UTC
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S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 7,779.45 (+0.9%) | 3.6 | 1.0% | 1h | 4.5d ago · 71× | 12% ±11 | 24% ±8 | 44% ±10 | 32% ±9 | 100 | 2% ±2 | 12% ±11 | 26% ±25 | 57% ±43 | 6.8d | 0.37% | 0.20% | 219 → 5 | |
| 7D POC | 7,767.1 (+0.7%) | 2.9 | 5.3% | 6h | 4.7d ago · 78× | 24% ±17 | 29% ±9 | 35% ±10 | 36% ±10 | 91 | 4% ±3 | 24% ±17 | 42% ±34 | 68% ±53 | 4.2d | 0.44% | 0.35% | 143 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 7,765.72–7,768.47 (+0.7%) | 2.8 | 5.1% | 5h | 4.7d ago · 65× | 34% ±19 | 30% ±10 | 34% ±10 | 36% ±10 | 83 | 6% ±4 | 34% ±19 | 52% ±35 | 72% ±44 | 3.0d | 0.54% | 0.35% | 152 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH | 7,713.58 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 5.6% | 11h | 6.7d ago · 49× | 91% ±14 | 28% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 31% ±12 | 58 | 69% ±9 | 91% ±14 | 94% ±21 | 95% ±30 | 1h | 0.45% | 0.23% | 98 → 2 | |
| at post · 7,712.79 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 7,661.45–7,686.14 (-0.3%) | 1.4 | 4.1% | 6h | 4.7d ago · 62× | 56% ±18 | 26% ±9 | 26% ±9 | 48% ±10 | 90 | 31% ±7 | 56% ±18 | 71% ±28 | 81% ±38 | 22h | 0.43% | 0.46% | 171 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 7,677.91 (-0.5%) | 1.9 | 6.6% | 12h | 12.7d ago · 40× | 48% ±31 | 18% ±12 | 47% ±15 | 36% ±14 | 42 | 27% ±11 | 47% ±31 | 59% ±56 | 65% | 1.0d | 0.37% | 0.24% | 60 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 7,668.31 (-0.6%) | 2.4 | 8.8% | 17h | 4.5d ago · 48× | 29% ±24 | 28% ±12 | 31% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 55 | 8% ±6 | 29% ±24 | 52% ±44 | 63% ±67 | 3.0d | 0.51% | 0.53% | 82 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 7D VAL | 7,634–7,635.38 (-1.0%) | 4.2 | 9.5% | 12h | 4.7d ago · 67× | 11% ±9 | 22% ±9 | 38% ±10 | 41% ±10 | 85 | 3% ±2 | 11% ±9 | 31% ±23 | 56% ±40 | 6.5d | 0.51% | 0.43% | 264 → 6 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,576.38 (-1.8%) | 7.3 | 2.2% | 2h | 5.7d ago · 41× | 7% ±8 | 22% ±11 | 41% ±13 | 37% ±13 | 51 | 2% ±2 | 7% ±8 | 16% ±21 | 25% ±38 | > 7d | 0.69% | 0.55% | 213 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,510.51 (-2.6%) | 11 | 0.1% | 4m | 6.4d ago · 58× | 5% ±8 | 23% ±10 | 37% ±12 | 40% ±12 | 67 | 3% ±3 | 5% ±8 | 16% ±24 | 28% ±44 | > 7d | 0.55% | 0.45% | 162 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.