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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-09-23 13:30 UTC
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S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 7,779.45 (+0.8%) | 3.3 | 1.0% | 1h | 4.7d ago · 71× | 15% ±12 | 24% ±8 | 44% ±10 | 32% ±9 | 100 | 3% ±2 | 15% ±12 | 29% ±26 | 58% ±43 | 6.8d | 0.37% | 0.20% | 217 → 5 | |
| 7D POC | 7,767.1 (+0.6%) | 2.6 | 5.4% | 6h | 4.9d ago · 78× | 28% ±18 | 29% ±9 | 35% ±10 | 36% ±10 | 91 | 6% ±4 | 28% ±18 | 44% ±34 | 68% ±53 | 4.0d | 0.44% | 0.35% | 138 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 7,765.72–7,768.47 (+0.6%) | 2.6 | 5.1% | 5h | 4.9d ago · 65× | 34% ±18 | 30% ±10 | 34% ±10 | 36% ±10 | 83 | 7% ±4 | 34% ±18 | 52% ±33 | 71% ±44 | 3.0d | 0.54% | 0.35% | 161 → 4 | |
| at post · 7,718.14 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 7,710.84 (-0.1%) | 0.4 | 4.1% | 8h | 13.8d ago · 30× | 81% ±25 | 13% ±11 | 50% ±17 | 37% ±16 | 35 | 65% ±13 | 81% ±25 | 83% ±42 | 87% | 1h | 0.37% | 0.43% | 52 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 7,658.7–7,686.14 (-0.4%) | 1.7 | 4.2% | 6h | 4.9d ago · 62× | 46% ±20 | 26% ±9 | 26% ±9 | 48% ±10 | 90 | 23% ±7 | 47% ±20 | 63% ±33 | 76% ±42 | 1.1d | 0.43% | 0.46% | 149 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH · 30D POC | 7,668.31–7,675.17 (-0.6%) | 2.3 | 7.9% | 15h | 4.7d ago · 48× | 29% ±23 | 23% ±11 | 38% ±13 | 39% ±13 | 55 | 9% ±6 | 29% ±23 | 47% ±44 | 58% ±68 | 3.8d | 0.45% | 0.40% | 90 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 7,638.12 (-1.0%) | 4.3 | 9.6% | 12h | 4.9d ago · 63× | 12% ±15 | 22% ±9 | 39% ±11 | 39% ±11 | 74 | 3% ±3 | 12% ±15 | 31% ±37 | 61% ±55 | 5.9d | 0.45% | 0.33% | 114 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,628.51 (-1.2%) | 4.8 | 7.6% | 9h | 6.7d ago · 67× | 9% ±8 | 22% ±9 | 36% ±10 | 42% ±10 | 85 | 3% ±2 | 9% ±8 | 27% ±22 | 52% ±40 | 7.0d | 0.56% | 0.51% | 264 → 6 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 7,576.38 (-1.8%) | 7.6 | 2.2% | 2h | 5.9d ago · 58× | 7% ±9 | 23% ±10 | 39% ±12 | 39% ±12 | 67 | 2% ±2 | 7% ±8 | 18% ±22 | 30% ±40 | > 7d | 0.61% | 0.49% | 213 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.