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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-09-22 20:00 UTC
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S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 7,779.45 (+0.2%) | 0.9 | 0.9% | 59m | 4.6d ago · 71× | 66% ±14 | 24% ±8 | 44% ±10 | 32% ±9 | 100 | 48% ±6 | 66% ±14 | 79% ±21 | 86% ±28 | 18h | 0.37% | 0.20% | 265 → 6 | |
| 7D POC | 7,767.1 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 4.9% | 5h | 4.8d ago · 78× | 77% ±17 | 29% ±9 | 35% ±10 | 36% ±10 | 91 | 63% ±8 | 77% ±17 | 88% ±23 | 92% ±30 | 1h | 0.44% | 0.35% | 138 → 3 | |
| at post · 7,764.64 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 7,710.84–7,721.82 (-0.6%) | 2.6 | 3.2% | 6h | 4.7d ago · 62× | 27% ±19 | 26% ±9 | 26% ±9 | 48% ±10 | 90 | 11% ±5 | 27% ±18 | 43% ±37 | 63% ±55 | 4.1d | 0.43% | 0.46% | 130 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 7,708.1 (-0.7%) | 3.4 | 2.5% | 5h | 13.7d ago · 30× | 15% ±21 | 13% ±11 | 50% ±17 | 37% ±16 | 35 | 9% ±7 | 15% ±21 | 30% ±45 | 60% ±68 | 5.9d | 0.37% | 0.43% | 67 → 2 | |
| 30D POC · 14D VAH | 7,666.93–7,668.31 (-1.2%) | 5.8 | 8.6% | 16h | 4.6d ago · 48× | 11% ±14 | 23% ±11 | 38% ±13 | 39% ±13 | 55 | 4% ±3 | 11% ±13 | 21% ±30 | 36% ±54 | > 7d | 0.45% | 0.40% | 124 → 3 | |
| 14D POC | 7,638.12 (-1.6%) | 7.7 | 8.7% | 11h | 4.7d ago · 63× | 11% ±16 | 22% ±9 | 39% ±11 | 39% ±11 | 74 | 6% ±5 | 11% ±15 | 27% ±39 | 44% ±69 | > 7d | 0.45% | 0.33% | 97 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,625.77 (-1.8%) | 8.4 | 5.6% | 7h | 6.5d ago · 67× | 5% ±8 | 22% ±9 | 36% ±10 | 42% ±10 | 85 | 3% ±3 | 5% ±8 | 20% ±26 | 39% ±48 | > 7d | 0.56% | 0.51% | 153 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 7,576.38 (-2.4%) | 11 | 1.9% | 2h | 5.8d ago · 58× | 4% ±6 | 23% ±10 | 39% ±12 | 39% ±12 | 67 | 2% ±2 | 4% ±6 | 12% ±18 | 19% ±35 | > 7d | 0.61% | 0.49% | 223 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.