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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-09-22 16:30 UTC
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S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 7,765.39 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 7,735.54 (-0.4%) | 1.7 | 1.6% | 3h | 4.7d ago · 52× | 33% ±25 | 20% ±11 | 44% ±13 | 36% ±13 | 56 | 15% ±7 | 33% ±25 | 58% ±43 | 73% ±62 | 2.2d | 0.39% | 0.26% | 86 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 7,710.84–7,721.82 (-0.6%) | 2.5 | 3.4% | 6h | 4.7d ago · 62× | 29% ±19 | 26% ±9 | 26% ±9 | 48% ±10 | 90 | 11% ±5 | 29% ±19 | 45% ±37 | 62% ±55 | 4.0d | 0.43% | 0.46% | 127 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 7,705.35 (-0.8%) | 3.5 | 1.5% | 4h | 13.6d ago · 30× | 14% ±22 | 13% ±11 | 50% ±17 | 37% ±16 | 35 | 7% ±6 | 14% ±20 | 29% ±45 | 59% ±68 | 5.9d | 0.37% | 0.43% | 65 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 7,699.86–7,702.61 (-0.8%) | 3.7 | 0.6% | 2h | 13.6d ago · 54× | 21% ±15 | 28% ±10 | 28% ±10 | 43% ±12 | 71 | 6% ±4 | 20% ±15 | 45% ±33 | 65% ±47 | 4.0d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 170 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH · 30D POC | 7,668.31–7,672.42 (-1.2%) | 5.4 | 9.1% | 16h | 4.5d ago · 48× | 12% ±14 | 23% ±11 | 38% ±13 | 39% ±13 | 55 | 4% ±4 | 12% ±14 | 23% ±31 | 37% ±55 | > 7d | 0.45% | 0.40% | 124 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 7,635.38–7,638.12 (-1.6%) | 7.4 | 9.2% | 11h | 4.7d ago · 75× | 12% ±17 | 25% ±9 | 38% ±10 | 37% ±10 | 94 | 7% ±5 | 12% ±16 | 25% ±38 | 41% ±68 | > 7d | 0.45% | 0.31% | 94 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 7,576.38 (-2.4%) | 11 | 2.1% | 2h | 5.7d ago · 58× | 4% ±7 | 23% ±10 | 39% ±12 | 39% ±12 | 67 | 2% ±2 | 4% ±7 | 13% ±19 | 21% ±36 | > 7d | 0.61% | 0.49% | 219 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,507.77 (-3.3%) | 15 | <0.1% | 2m | 6.4d ago · 67× | 14% ±25 | 22% ±9 | 36% ±10 | 42% ±10 | 85 | 11% ±9 | 13% ±25 | 22% ±58 | 22% | > 7d | 0.56% | 0.51% | 44 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.