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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-09-21 20:00 UTC
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S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 7,764.7 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 7,708.64–7,722.22 (-0.5%) | 1.7 | 5.3% | 8h | 4.7d ago · 62× | 47% ±20 | 26% ±9 | 26% ±9 | 48% ±10 | 90 | 23% ±7 | 47% ±20 | 62% ±34 | 75% ±49 | 1.1d | 0.43% | 0.46% | 146 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 7,700.5–7,703.21 (-0.8%) | 2.5 | 1.4% | 4h | 13.6d ago · 54× | 27% ±17 | 28% ±10 | 28% ±10 | 43% ±12 | 71 | 14% ±5 | 27% ±17 | 52% ±33 | 73% ±44 | 3.0d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 161 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH | 7,695.07 (-0.9%) | 2.8 | 3.4% | 5h | 13.6d ago · 30× | 21% ±27 | 13% ±11 | 50% ±17 | 37% ±16 | 35 | 14% ±9 | 21% ±25 | 33% ±53 | 63% | 5.9d | 0.37% | 0.43% | 57 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 14D VAH | 7,665.21–7,669.28 (-1.2%) | 3.9 | 13.5% | 23h | 4.5d ago · 48× | 16% ±17 | 23% ±11 | 38% ±13 | 39% ±13 | 55 | 5% ±4 | 16% ±17 | 31% ±37 | 45% ±56 | > 7d | 0.45% | 0.40% | 105 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,651.64 (-1.5%) | 4.6 | 5.8% | 9h | 4.7d ago · 52× | 20% ±26 | 20% ±11 | 44% ±13 | 36% ±13 | 56 | 9% ±8 | 20% ±26 | 35% ±54 | 50% | > 7d | 0.39% | 0.26% | 54 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 7,636.71 (-1.6%) | 5.2 | 13.5% | 16h | 4.7d ago · 75× | 11% ±15 | 25% ±9 | 38% ±10 | 37% ±10 | 94 | 4% ±4 | 11% ±15 | 29% ±36 | 51% ±57 | 6.9d | 0.45% | 0.31% | 110 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 7,570.2–7,578.35 (-2.4%) | 7.5 | 4.2% | 4h | 5.7d ago · 67× | 6% ±8 | 22% ±9 | 38% ±10 | 40% ±10 | 85 | 2% ±2 | 6% ±8 | 18% ±22 | 33% ±41 | > 7d | 0.59% | 0.50% | 211 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.