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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-09-21 19:30 UTC
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S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 7,764.22 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 7,708.64–7,722.22 (-0.5%) | 1.6 | 5.5% | 9h | 4.6d ago · 62× | 51% ±20 | 26% ±9 | 26% ±9 | 48% ±10 | 90 | 26% ±7 | 51% ±19 | 66% ±31 | 78% ±41 | 1.0d | 0.43% | 0.46% | 153 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 7,700.5–7,703.21 (-0.8%) | 2.4 | 1.6% | 4h | 13.5d ago · 54× | 28% ±17 | 28% ±10 | 28% ±10 | 43% ±12 | 71 | 15% ±6 | 28% ±17 | 52% ±33 | 73% ±44 | 3.0d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 159 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH | 7,695.07 (-0.9%) | 2.7 | 3.5% | 5h | 13.5d ago · 30× | 24% ±28 | 13% ±11 | 50% ±17 | 37% ±16 | 35 | 14% ±9 | 23% ±28 | 36% ±54 | 65% | 5.0d | 0.37% | 0.43% | 54 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 14D VAH | 7,665.21–7,669.28 (-1.2%) | 3.7 | 13.9% | 23h | 4.4d ago · 48× | 17% ±18 | 23% ±11 | 38% ±13 | 39% ±13 | 55 | 5% ±4 | 17% ±18 | 32% ±37 | 47% ±69 | 7.0d | 0.45% | 0.40% | 101 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,651.64 (-1.5%) | 4.4 | 6.1% | 10h | 4.6d ago · 52× | 22% ±27 | 20% ±11 | 44% ±13 | 36% ±13 | 56 | 11% ±8 | 22% ±27 | 36% ±54 | 51% | 6.9d | 0.39% | 0.26% | 54 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 7,636.71 (-1.6%) | 5.0 | 14.0% | 16h | 4.6d ago · 75× | 11% ±14 | 25% ±9 | 38% ±10 | 37% ±10 | 94 | 4% ±3 | 11% ±14 | 29% ±36 | 52% ±57 | 6.9d | 0.45% | 0.31% | 110 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 7,570.2–7,578.35 (-2.4%) | 7.2 | 4.4% | 4h | 5.7d ago · 67× | 6% ±8 | 22% ±9 | 38% ±10 | 40% ±10 | 85 | 2% ±2 | 6% ±8 | 20% ±24 | 35% ±42 | > 7d | 0.59% | 0.50% | 204 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.