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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-09-21 16:30 UTC
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S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 7,758.12 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 7,708.19–7,721.38 (-0.5%) | 1.4 | 5.8% | 9h | 4.6d ago · 62× | 57% ±18 | 26% ±9 | 26% ±9 | 48% ±10 | 90 | 33% ±7 | 57% ±18 | 70% ±30 | 81% ±38 | 22h | 0.43% | 0.46% | 167 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH | 7,697.64 (-0.8%) | 2.3 | 2.4% | 5h | 13.5d ago · 30× | 31% ±34 | 13% ±11 | 50% ±17 | 37% ±16 | 35 | 20% ±12 | 31% ±34 | 42% ±68 | 58% | 5.0d | 0.37% | 0.43% | 43 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 7,651.6–7,669.95 (-1.1%) | 3.4 | 14.6% | 24h | 4.4d ago · 52× | 20% ±20 | 22% ±11 | 40% ±13 | 38% ±13 | 56 | 8% ±5 | 20% ±20 | 37% ±42 | 50% ±69 | 6.5d | 0.43% | 0.35% | 97 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 7,637.72 (-1.6%) | 4.6 | 14.5% | 16h | 4.6d ago · 75× | 12% ±15 | 25% ±9 | 38% ±10 | 37% ±10 | 94 | 4% ±4 | 12% ±15 | 31% ±37 | 54% ±56 | 6.0d | 0.45% | 0.31% | 110 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 7,570.85–7,584.25 (-2.2%) | 6.7 | 7.4% | 7h | 5.7d ago · 67× | 8% ±9 | 22% ±9 | 38% ±10 | 40% ±10 | 85 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±9 | 22% ±24 | 39% ±43 | > 7d | 0.59% | 0.50% | 192 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.