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1000PEPE · 1h · posted 2026-09-27 20:00 UTC
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1000PEPE · these odds carry some signal, worth about 0.53 of what they claim 105 tests, 47% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 2.4% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0060 of 0.249, 95% 0.0039 to 0.0060), and their calibration slope is 0.53 (95% 0.13 to 0.53) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 0.00491455 (+12.6%) | 11 | 1.6% | 6h | 1.2d ago · 69× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±3 | 16% ±10 | 30% ±18 | > 7d | — | — | 1002 → 24 |
| 14D VAH | 0.00473593 (+8.5%) | 7.6 | 0.5% | 1h | 5.0d ago · 48× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±5 | 26% ±12 | 36% ±21 | > 7d | — | — | 891 → 21 |
| LVN zone | 0.00454267–0.00473758 (+4.1%) | 3.6 | 0.4% | 1h | 1.8d ago · 58× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | 8% ±3 | 33% ±13 | 52% ±23 | 64% ±33 | 2.5d | — | — | 317 → 8 |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 0.0044106–0.00441258 (+1.1%) | 0.9 | 2.1% | 16h | 1.4d ago · 92× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | 63% ±4 | 80% ±8 | 88% ±12 | 90% ±17 | 2h | — | — | 521 → 12 |
| 30D VAH | 0.00436942 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 1.7% | 13h | 2.2d ago · 29× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | 73% ±9 | 87% ±16 | 91% ±23 | 95% ±29 | 1h | — | — | 104 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 0.00436942–0.00445605 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 1.7% | 13h | 3.8d ago · 81× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | 78% ±5 | 89% ±9 | 93% ±12 | 94% ±17 | 1h | — | — | 302 → 7 |
| at post · 0.0043642 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 0.0040879–0.00410955 (-5.8%) | 5.2 | 0.5% | 2h | 8.2d ago · 29× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | 2% ±1 | 18% ±9 | 45% ±19 | 71% ±27 | 3.8d | — | — | 461 → 11 |
| 7D VAL | 0.0039688 (-9.1%) | 8.0 | 0.7% | 4h | 3.8d ago · 87× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | 0% ±0 | 9% ±5 | 27% ±12 | 48% ±21 | > 7d | — | — | 905 → 22 |
| HVN zone | 0.00328662–0.00371974 (-14.8%) | 13 | 1.3% | 8h | 1.8d ago · 72× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±3 | 11% ±13 | 25% ±27 | > 7d | — | — | 408 → 10 |
| 30D POC | 0.00364395 (-16.5%) | 15 | 4.1% | 2.2d | 1.2d ago · 53× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 8% ±11 | 20% ±24 | > 7d | — | — | 476 → 11 |
| 14D VAL | 0.00328769 (-24.7%) | 22 | 1.3% | 9h | 81.6d ago · 52× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±6 | 16% ±25 | > 7d | — | — | 326 → 8 |
| 30D VAL | 0.00322166 (-26.2%) | 23 | 0.3% | 48m | 104.6d ago · 46× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±6 | 16% ±20 | > 7d | — | — | 556 → 13 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | short | 0.0043642 | 0.00364395 | 0.00457602 | open | — |