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1000PEPE · 1h · posted 2026-09-28 00:00 UTC
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1000PEPE · these odds carry some signal, worth about 0.59 of what they claim 106 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 2.4% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0060 of 0.249, 95% 0.0039 to 0.0060), and their calibration slope is 0.59 (95% 0.13 to 0.59) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 0.0049215 (+13.4%) | 11 | 1.8% | 7h | 1.5d ago · 69× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±3 | 16% ±9 | 30% ±18 | > 7d | — | — | 1046 → 25 |
| 14D VAH | 0.00473593 (+9.1%) | 7.2 | 0.5% | 1h | 5.2d ago · 48× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±5 | 28% ±13 | 38% ±21 | > 7d | — | — | 857 → 20 |
| LVN zone | 0.00454267–0.00473758 (+4.7%) | 3.7 | 0.5% | 1h | 2.1d ago · 58× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | 8% ±3 | 32% ±12 | 51% ±23 | 63% ±33 | 2.6d | — | — | 321 → 8 |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 0.00440108–0.0044106 (+1.4%) | 1.1 | 2.4% | 20h | 1.7d ago · 92× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | 54% ±4 | 76% ±9 | 84% ±14 | 87% ±19 | 4h | — | — | 505 → 12 |
| 30D VAH | 0.00436942 (+0.7%) | 0.5 | 2.0% | 16h | 2.5d ago · 29× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | 64% ±8 | 84% ±15 | 88% ±23 | 94% ±26 | 2h | — | — | 137 → 3 |
| HVN zone | 0.00434777–0.00445605 (+0.2%) | 0.1 | 1.5% | 14h | 4.0d ago · 81× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | 78% ±5 | 89% ±9 | 93% ±12 | 94% ±17 | 1h | — | — | 307 → 7 |
| at post · 0.0043404 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 0.0040879–0.00410955 (-5.3%) | 4.2 | 0.6% | 2h | 8.5d ago · 29× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | 3% ±2 | 24% ±10 | 55% ±20 | 77% ±26 | 2.6d | — | — | 420 → 10 |
| 7D VAL | 0.0039778 (-8.4%) | 6.6 | 0.9% | 5h | 4.0d ago · 87× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 15% ±5 | 34% ±12 | 54% ±20 | 6.2d | — | — | 1013 → 24 |
| HVN zone | 0.00328662–0.00371974 (-14.3%) | 11 | 1.4% | 9h | 2.0d ago · 72× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | 0% ±1 | 4% ±4 | 17% ±14 | 31% ±27 | > 7d | — | — | 466 → 11 |
| 30D POC | 0.00364395 (-16.0%) | 13 | 4.6% | 2.4d | 1.5d ago · 53× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±3 | 10% ±11 | 22% ±23 | > 7d | — | — | 506 → 12 |
| 14D VAL | 0.00328769 (-24.3%) | 19 | 1.4% | 10h | 81.9d ago · 52× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±8 | 22% ±25 | > 7d | — | — | 445 → 11 |
| 30D VAL | 0.00322166 (-25.8%) | 20 | 0.3% | 58m | 104.9d ago · 46× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±6 | 18% ±18 | > 7d | — | — | 696 → 17 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | short | 0.0043404 | 0.00364395 | 0.00457602 | open | — |