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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-07-22 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 123,048.15 (+5.6%) | 8.3 | 0.1% | 20m | 8.3d ago · 38× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | 8% ±16 | 45% ±69 | 92% | 92% | 1.4d | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 120,534.3 (+3.5%) | 5.1 | 0.9% | 4h | 3.8d ago · 67× | 25% ±38 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 5% ±7 | 23% ±34 | 42% ±68 | 97% | 4.5d | — | — | 36 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 119,211.28 (+2.3%) | 3.4 | 2.7% | 16h | 4.2d ago · 89× | 33% ±33 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 8% ±7 | 34% ±31 | 74% ±49 | 74% | 1.5d | — | — | 51 → 1 |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 117,845.43–118,137.16 (+1.2%) | 1.7 | 5.8% | 2.5d | 3.7d ago · 117× | 60% ±68 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 24% ±21 | 62% ±55 | 94% | 94% | 22h | — | — | 15 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 116,996.45 (+0.4%) | 0.6 | 3.2% | 17h | 1.3d ago · 77× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 5 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 116,500.16–119,522.31 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 1.9% | 8h | 1.3d ago · 80× | 86% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 86% ±20 | 86% ±48 | 93% | 93% | 1h | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| at post · 116,500 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 116,078.45 (-0.4%) | 0.5 | 1.0% | 3h | 1.2d ago · 58× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 1 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 113,478.01–115,492.77 (-0.9%) | 1.3 | 0.3% | 1h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 35% ±47 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 24% ±17 | 33% ±46 | 55% | 96% | 2.7d | — | — | 23 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 106,426.32–109,700.32 (-5.8%) | 8.6 | 1.8% | 13h | 3.7d ago · 98× | 3% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 3% ±5 | 3% ±12 | 3% ±22 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 38 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 107,433.7 (-7.8%) | 11 | 6.0% | 2.6d | 22.9d ago · 37× | 2% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±15 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 56 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 116,500 | 114,285.17 | 118,130.23 | stop | -2.13% |