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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-07-22 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 123,048.15 (+4.1%) | 5.9 | 0.1% | 20m | 8.2d ago · 38× | 52% ±49 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 7% ±10 | 51% ±49 | 96% | 96% | 23h | — | — | 26 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 120,400.79 (+1.8%) | 2.6 | 1.0% | 5h | 3.8d ago · 67× | 41% ±56 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 18% ±17 | 41% ±56 | 73% | 95% | 1.4d | — | — | 20 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 119,264.01 (+0.9%) | 1.2 | 2.6% | 15h | 4.1d ago · 89× | 77% ±47 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 50% ±21 | 72% ±44 | 96% | 96% | 4h | — | — | 22 → 1 |
| at post · 118,257.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 117,883.06–118,137.16 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 5.7% | 2.1d | 3.5d ago · 115× | 85% ±35 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 67% ±19 | 86% ±34 | 91% | 91% | 2h | — | — | 23 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 117,101.92 (-1.0%) | 1.4 | 3.8% | 23h | 1.2d ago · 101× | 37% ±47 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 24% ±16 | 41% ±43 | 62% ±67 | 66% | 1.6d | — | — | 27 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 116,128.27 (-1.8%) | 2.6 | 1.0% | 3h | 1.2d ago · 58× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 6 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 113,478.01–115,492.77 (-2.3%) | 3.4 | 0.3% | 1h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 11% ±25 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±5 | 16% ±29 | 41% ±68 | 92% | 3.5d | — | — | 37 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 106,426.32–109,700.32 (-7.2%) | 11 | 1.9% | 13h | 3.7d ago · 98× | 3% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 3% ±5 | 3% ±12 | 3% ±22 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 38 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 107,433.7 (-9.2%) | 13 | 6.1% | 2.7d | 22.8d ago · 37× | 2% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±12 | 1% ±17 | > 7d | — | — | 67 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 118,257.9 | 119,264.01 | 117,101.92 | target | +0.11% |
| 30d | POC | long | 118,257.9 | 123,048.15 | 107,433.7 | expired | +0.11% |