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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-07-22 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 123,048.15 (+3.7%) | 5.3 | 0.1% | 20m | 8.3d ago · 38× | 50% ±44 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 6% ±8 | 49% ±44 | 97% ±24 | 97% | 1.0d | — | — | 31 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 120,144.44 (+1.2%) | 1.8 | 1.3% | 9h | 3.8d ago · 67× | 61% ±55 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 35% ±22 | 58% ±56 | 76% | 95% | 7h | — | — | 18 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 119,323.82 (+0.6%) | 0.8 | 3.0% | 16h | 4.2d ago · 89× | 76% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 64% ±21 | 77% ±47 | 95% | 95% | 2h | — | — | 20 → 1 |
| at post · 118,663.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC | 117,815.33–118,230.22 (-0.4%) | 0.5 | 5.9% | 2.0d | 3.5d ago · 115× | 76% ±38 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 55% ±18 | 77% ±37 | 90% ±41 | 90% | 3h | — | — | 31 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 117,390.95 (-1.1%) | 1.5 | 5.3% | 1.7d | 1.3d ago · 101× | 34% ±42 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 22% ±15 | 38% ±42 | 61% ±68 | 64% | 1.6d | — | — | 30 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 116,237.55 (-2.0%) | 2.9 | 1.3% | 4h | 1.2d ago · 58× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | 17% ±23 | 17% ±52 | 17% | 17% | > 7d | — | — | 10 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 113,729.85–115,492.77 (-2.7%) | 3.8 | 0.3% | 1h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 14% ±27 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±5 | 20% ±29 | 43% ±69 | 92% | 3.4d | — | — | 41 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 106,426.32–109,700.32 (-7.6%) | 11 | 1.9% | 13h | 3.7d ago · 98× | 3% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 2% ±21 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 41 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 107,685.55 (-9.3%) | 13 | 5.9% | 1.8d | 22.9d ago · 37× | 2% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±12 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | — | — | 69 → 2 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.