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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-07-22 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 123,056.52 (+2.8%) | 4.0 | 0.1% | 21m | 8.2d ago · 38× | 46% ±40 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 5% ±7 | 45% ±40 | 97% ±22 | 97% | 1.0d | — | — | 36 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 119,994.17 (+0.2%) | 0.3 | 1.7% | 11h | 3.8d ago · 67× | 86% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 73% ±24 | 87% ±47 | 87% | 93% | 1h | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| at post · 119,723.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 116,726.15–119,647.86 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.4% | 11h | 3.7d ago · 98× | 81% ±39 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 65% ±19 | 81% ±39 | 85% | 85% | 1h | — | — | 24 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 119,323.82 (-0.3%) | 0.5 | 3.3% | 17h | 4.2d ago · 72× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAL | 117,441.82–118,230.22 (-1.2%) | 1.8 | 5.9% | 2.0d | 1.2d ago · 115× | 41% ±36 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 20% ±11 | 42% ±34 | 60% ±55 | 63% | 2.7d | — | — | 47 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 116,237.55 (-2.9%) | 4.2 | 1.3% | 4h | 1.2d ago · 58× | 4% ±20 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 4% ±8 | 4% ±19 | 4% | 4% | > 7d | — | — | 24 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 113,804.44–115,265.29 (-3.7%) | 5.4 | 0.2% | 26m | 1.4d ago · 47× | 10% ±24 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±4 | 18% ±29 | 41% ±68 | 88% | 3.9d | — | — | 44 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 107,717.54 (-10.0%) | 14 | 5.6% | 1.9d | 22.8d ago · 37× | 1% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | — | — | 73 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 119,723.2 | 121,605.21 | 118,230.22 | stop | -1.56% |