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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-07-23 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 120,144.44 (+0.5%) | 0.7 | 1.7% | 10h | 3.8d ago · 67× | 88% ±46 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 72% ±22 | 89% ±36 | 89% | 94% | 1h | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| at post · 119,587.6 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 116,649.33–119,499.62 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.8% | 14h | 3.7d ago · 98× | 81% ±39 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 67% ±18 | 81% ±38 | 85% | 85% | 1h | — | — | 25 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 119,476.42 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.9% | 15h | 4.2d ago · 72× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| 7D POC · 30D VAH · 14D POC · 7D VAL | 117,543.55–118,230.22 (-1.1%) | 1.6 | 6.0% | 2.0d | 1.2d ago · 115× | 46% ±40 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 21% ±13 | 46% ±37 | 71% ±63 | 75% | 1.7d | — | — | 41 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 116,387.81 (-2.7%) | 3.8 | 1.8% | 6h | 1.2d ago · 58× | 6% ±26 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 5% ±9 | 5% ±24 | 5% | 5% | > 7d | — | — | 20 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 113,799.04–115,461.71 (-3.5%) | 4.9 | 0.3% | 1h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 10% ±24 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±4 | 18% ±27 | 40% ±55 | 88% | 3.9d | — | — | 46 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 107,504.65 (-10.1%) | 14 | 6.5% | 2.4d | 3.5d ago · 63× | 2% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±7 | 2% ±12 | 2% ±17 | > 7d | — | — | 63 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 99,547.6 (-16.8%) | 24 | <0.1% | 7m | 22.8d ago · 37× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 80 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 119,587.6 | 117,815.33 | 120,820.63 | target | +0.47% |