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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-07-23 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 122,824.95 (+3.7%) | 6.7 | 0.2% | 35m | 8.2d ago · 38× | 48% ±49 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 7% ±10 | 44% ±43 | 97% ±25 | 97% | 1.2d | — | — | 27 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 120,028.38 (+1.4%) | 2.5 | 1.5% | 10h | 3.8d ago · 67× | 40% ±55 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 22% ±18 | 45% ±49 | 77% | 96% | 1.4d | — | — | 21 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 119,527.28 (+1.0%) | 1.7 | 2.3% | 12h | 4.1d ago · 89× | 75% ±42 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 39% ±19 | 79% ±40 | 96% | 96% | 12h | — | — | 26 → 1 |
| at post · 118,390 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAL | 117,645.28–118,230.22 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 4.9% | 1.6d | 1.2d ago · 115× | 70% ±45 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 52% ±18 | 68% ±41 | 82% ±53 | 84% | 14h | — | — | 29 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 116,459.34 (-1.6%) | 2.9 | 1.6% | 6h | 1.2d ago · 58× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | 12% ±17 | 12% ±46 | 12% | 12% | > 7d | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 113,799.04–115,461.71 (-2.5%) | 4.4 | 0.2% | 45m | 1.4d ago · 47× | 18% ±28 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 2% ±4 | 17% ±26 | 41% ±56 | 89% | 3.9d | — | — | 49 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 106,435.8–109,523.61 (-7.5%) | 13 | 2.3% | 15h | 3.7d ago · 98× | 2% ±11 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 2% ±16 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 47 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 107,860.94 (-8.9%) | 16 | 4.3% | 1.7d | 22.8d ago · 37× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±10 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 81 → 2 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.