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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-07-23 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,521 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.12) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 122,824.95 (+4.1%) | 7.3 | 0.2% | 36m | 8.3d ago · 38× | 35% ±54 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 4% ±8 | 31% ±45 | 96% | 96% | 1.5d | — | — | 22 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 119,879.67 (+1.7%) | 2.9 | 1.7% | 11h | 3.9d ago · 67× | 35% ±47 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 17% ±14 | 39% ±43 | 70% ±64 | 97% | 1.6d | — | — | 27 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 119,527.28 (+1.4%) | 2.4 | 2.3% | 12h | 4.2d ago · 89× | 56% ±37 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 16% ±11 | 57% ±37 | 83% ±52 | 90% | 22h | — | — | 41 → 1 |
| 30D POC · 7D POC | 118,193.23–118,230.22 (+0.2%) | 0.4 | 5.3% | 1.8d | 3.7d ago · 117× | 76% ±38 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 66% ±18 | 76% ±38 | 97% ±25 | 97% | 1h | — | — | 27 → 1 |
| at post · 117,932.6 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 7D VAL | 117,645.28–117,872.08 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 5.5% | 2.3d | 1.3d ago · 101× | 77% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 60% ±22 | 79% ±46 | 88% | 88% | 2h | — | — | 19 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 116,459.34 (-1.2%) | 2.2 | 1.6% | 6h | 1.1d ago · 58× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 6 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 113,799.04–115,461.71 (-2.1%) | 3.7 | 0.2% | 46m | 1.1d ago · 47× | 19% ±29 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 2% ±4 | 18% ±27 | 41% ±56 | 92% | 3.5d | — | — | 46 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 106,435.8–109,523.61 (-7.1%) | 13 | 2.3% | 15h | 3.8d ago · 98× | 2% ±11 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 2% ±16 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 47 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 107,860.94 (-8.5%) | 15 | 4.3% | 1.8d | 22.9d ago · 37× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 78 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 117,932.6 | 117,645.28 | 119,527.28 | target | -0.46% |
| 30d | POC | short | 117,932.6 | 107,860.94 | 122,824.95 | expired | -0.46% |