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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-07-23 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 122,842.87 (+4.4%) | 8.1 | 0.2% | 31m | 8.2d ago · 38× | 35% ±54 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 5% ±10 | 33% ±53 | 95% | 95% | 1.7d | — | — | 18 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 119,863.1 (+1.9%) | 3.4 | 1.7% | 11h | 3.8d ago · 67× | 29% ±40 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 11% ±10 | 37% ±39 | 66% ±66 | 83% | 1.8d | — | — | 35 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 119,323.82 (+1.4%) | 2.6 | 2.7% | 14h | 4.1d ago · 89× | 52% ±37 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 13% ±10 | 52% ±37 | 84% ±51 | 91% | 1.0d | — | — | 44 → 1 |
| 7D POC · 30D POC | 118,128.49–118,157.33 (+0.4%) | 0.7 | 5.5% | 1.9d | 3.6d ago · 117× | 79% ±36 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 59% ±17 | 79% ±35 | 97% ±23 | 97% | 1h | — | — | 32 → 1 |
| 14D POC | 117,786.65 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 5.5% | 2.2d | 3.6d ago · 82× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| at post · 117,671.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 117,390.95 (-0.2%) | 0.4 | 4.5% | 1.4d | 1.2d ago · 101× | 56% ±69 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 56% ±24 | 61% ±55 | 78% | 78% | 3h | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 116,569.41 (-0.9%) | 1.7 | 1.8% | 8h | 1.2d ago · 58× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 4 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 113,928.92–115,300.3 (-2.0%) | 3.7 | 0.2% | 24m | 1.4d ago · 47× | 19% ±29 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 2% ±4 | 18% ±26 | 41% ±56 | 92% | 3.5d | — | — | 47 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 106,614.9–109,357.66 (-7.1%) | 13 | 2.5% | 18h | 3.7d ago · 98× | 2% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 2% ±16 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 49 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 107,986.28 (-8.2%) | 15 | 4.1% | 2.2d | 22.8d ago · 37× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 79 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 117,671.2 | 117,390.95 | 119,323.82 | target | -0.70% |
| 14d | POC | short | 117,671.2 | 116,569.41 | 119,863.1 | expired | -0.70% |
| 30d | POC | short | 117,671.2 | 107,986.28 | 122,842.87 | expired | -0.70% |