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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-07-23 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 122,905.43 (+4.3%) | 8.6 | 0.1% | 18m | 8.2d ago · 38× | 25% ±60 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 5% ±11 | 24% ±49 | 95% | 95% | 1.9d | — | — | 17 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 119,697.02 (+1.6%) | 3.1 | 1.9% | 10h | 3.8d ago · 67× | 37% ±42 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 15% ±13 | 35% ±42 | 67% ±65 | 82% | 1.8d | — | — | 31 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 119,272.96 (+1.2%) | 2.4 | 2.6% | 14h | 4.1d ago · 89× | 57% ±37 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 16% ±11 | 56% ±37 | 83% ±52 | 90% | 22h | — | — | 43 → 1 |
| 30D POC · 7D POC | 118,071.92–118,128.49 (+0.2%) | 0.4 | 5.4% | 1.9d | 3.6d ago · 117× | 76% ±38 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 68% ±17 | 77% ±37 | 97% ±24 | 97% | 1h | — | — | 29 → 1 |
| at post · 117,858.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 117,831.19 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 5.4% | 2.1d | 3.5d ago · 85× | 89% ±35 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 64% ±21 | 91% ±33 | 95% | 95% | 1h | — | — | 20 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 117,390.95 (-0.4%) | 0.8 | 4.2% | 1.3d | 1.2d ago · 101× | 56% ±69 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 55% ±23 | 65% ±54 | 80% | 80% | 3h | — | — | 18 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 116,608.74 (-1.1%) | 2.1 | 1.7% | 7h | 1.2d ago · 58× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 113,632.99–115,605.85 (-1.9%) | 3.8 | 0.3% | 1h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 18% ±29 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 2% ±4 | 17% ±26 | 40% ±56 | 92% | 3.5d | — | — | 48 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 106,727.98–109,292.69 (-7.3%) | 15 | 2.4% | 18h | 3.7d ago · 98× | 2% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±15 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 53 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 108,108.98 (-8.3%) | 17 | 3.6% | 2.0d | 22.8d ago · 37× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±10 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 82 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 117,858.2 | 117,390.95 | 119,272.96 | target | -0.70% |
| 30d | POC | short | 117,858.2 | 108,108.98 | 122,905.43 | expired | -0.70% |