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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-07-24 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 122,925.42 (+4.3%) | 8.1 | 0.1% | 17m | 8.2d ago · 38× | 33% ±53 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 4% ±9 | 30% ±45 | 96% | 96% | 1.9d | — | — | 21 → 1 |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 119,272.96–119,568.34 (+1.2%) | 2.2 | 2.8% | 15h | 3.8d ago · 89× | 55% ±40 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 19% ±12 | 52% ±37 | 79% ±57 | 89% | 1.1d | — | — | 42 → 1 |
| 7D POC · 30D POC | 118,128.49–118,149.47 (+0.2%) | 0.4 | 5.8% | 1.9d | 3.6d ago · 117× | 81% ±38 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 73% ±16 | 83% ±33 | 97% ±25 | 97% | 1h | — | — | 28 → 1 |
| at post · 117,905.6 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 117,831.19 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 5.9% | 2.2d | 3.5d ago · 85× | 90% ±34 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 67% ±20 | 92% ±27 | 96% | 96% | 1h | — | — | 22 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 117,390.95 (-0.4%) | 0.8 | 4.5% | 1.4d | 1.2d ago · 101× | 53% ±56 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 55% ±22 | 64% ±54 | 82% | 82% | 3h | — | — | 20 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 116,608.74 (-1.1%) | 2.1 | 1.8% | 8h | 1.2d ago · 58× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 113,560.82–115,621.03 (-1.9%) | 3.7 | 0.4% | 2h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 17% ±28 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 2% ±4 | 16% ±26 | 39% ±55 | 91% | 3.5d | — | — | 49 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 106,818.3–109,065.81 (-7.5%) | 14 | 3.1% | 24h | 3.7d ago · 98× | 2% ±10 | 62% ±30 | 31% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 10 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±15 | 2% | > 7d | 1.17% | 0.67% | 55 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 108,316.64 (-8.1%) | 16 | 2.8% | 24h | 22.8d ago · 37× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±10 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 82 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 117,905.6 | 117,390.95 | 119,272.96 | target | +1.58% |
| 30d | POC | short | 117,905.6 | 108,316.64 | 122,925.42 | expired | +1.58% |