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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-07-24 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 122,929 (+3.5%) | 6.1 | 0.1% | 21m | 8.2d ago · 38× | 42% ±43 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 5% ±7 | 39% ±39 | 97% ±22 | 97% | 1.4d | — | — | 35 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 119,568.34 (+0.7%) | 1.2 | 2.4% | 13h | 3.8d ago · 67× | 67% ±46 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 48% ±20 | 65% ±47 | 83% | 96% | 5h | — | — | 23 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 119,222.09 (+0.4%) | 0.7 | 3.3% | 18h | 4.1d ago · 89× | 73% ±50 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 70% ±20 | 74% ±43 | 96% | 96% | 2h | — | — | 21 → 1 |
| at post · 118,748.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 117,827.75–117,925.03 (-0.7%) | 1.2 | 6.8% | 2.4d | 3.5d ago · 115× | 69% ±37 | 54% ±31 | 15% ±22 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 48% ±16 | 72% ±33 | 86% ±48 | 86% | 6h | 1.65% | 0.34% | 39 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 117,390.95 (-1.1%) | 2.0 | 5.1% | 1.5d | 1.2d ago · 101× | 29% ±40 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 13% ±11 | 40% ±39 | 60% ±68 | 65% | 1.3d | — | — | 38 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 116,737.42 (-1.7%) | 3.0 | 2.4% | 10h | 1.2d ago · 58× | 13% ±46 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 9% ±13 | 9% ±33 | 9% | 9% | > 7d | — | — | 20 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 113,654–115,509 (-2.7%) | 4.8 | 0.3% | 59m | 1.4d ago · 47× | 15% ±25 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 2% ±3 | 15% ±23 | 36% ±54 | 87% | 4.2d | — | — | 56 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 106,790.5–109,202 (-8.0%) | 14 | 3.1% | 22h | 3.7d ago · 98× | 2% ±10 | 62% ±30 | 31% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 10 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±15 | 2% | > 7d | 1.17% | 0.67% | 56 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 108,460 (-8.7%) | 15 | 2.9% | 23h | 22.8d ago · 37× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 83 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 118,748.3 | 117,925.03 | 117,061.34 | target | -2.99% |