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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-07-24 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 122,934.2 (+3.7%) | 6.7 | 0.1% | 19m | 8.2d ago · 38× | 39% ±43 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 5% ±7 | 36% ±38 | 97% ±22 | 97% | 1.5d | — | — | 35 → 1 |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 119,272.96–119,523.75 (+0.7%) | 1.2 | 3.2% | 16h | 3.8d ago · 89× | 66% ±46 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 48% ±19 | 70% ±40 | 91% ±41 | 96% | 4h | — | — | 28 → 1 |
| at post · 118,498 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC | 117,851.4–117,925.03 (-0.5%) | 0.9 | 6.7% | 2.4d | 3.5d ago · 115× | 77% ±34 | 50% ±30 | 14% ±21 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 58% ±15 | 78% ±31 | 89% ±44 | 89% | 2h | 1.46% | 0.45% | 40 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 117,390.95 (-0.9%) | 1.7 | 5.0% | 1.5d | 1.2d ago · 101× | 40% ±39 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 21% ±13 | 42% ±40 | 64% ±66 | 67% | 1.2d | — | — | 37 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 116,934.31 (-1.3%) | 2.4 | 2.7% | 13h | 1.2d ago · 58× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | 12% ±17 | 19% ±55 | 19% | 19% | > 7d | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 113,606.3–115,618.2 (-2.4%) | 4.3 | 0.4% | 2h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 16% ±25 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 2% ±3 | 15% ±23 | 36% ±54 | 87% | 4.2d | — | — | 55 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 106,839–109,033.8 (-8.0%) | 14 | 3.5% | 1.2d | 3.7d ago · 98× | 2% ±9 | 62% ±30 | 31% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 10 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±14 | 2% | > 7d | 1.17% | 0.67% | 58 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 108,485.1 (-8.4%) | 15 | 2.9% | 23h | 22.8d ago · 37× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 85 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 118,498 | 117,925.03 | 119,611.72 | target | +1.99% |