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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-07-24 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 122,934.2 (+3.6%) | 6.6 | 0.1% | 17m | 8.2d ago · 38× | 38% ±42 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 5% ±7 | 35% ±38 | 84% ±51 | 84% | 1.7d | — | — | 36 → 1 |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 119,222.09–119,408.07 (+0.5%) | 0.8 | 3.5% | 19h | 3.8d ago · 89× | 69% ±45 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 56% ±19 | 74% ±39 | 91% ±39 | 96% | 3h | — | — | 27 → 1 |
| at post · 118,677.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC | 117,861.28–117,925.03 (-0.6%) | 1.2 | 6.6% | 2.3d | 3.5d ago · 115× | 74% ±35 | 50% ±30 | 14% ±21 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 53% ±15 | 75% ±32 | 88% ±45 | 88% | 4h | 1.46% | 0.45% | 42 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 117,390.95 (-1.1%) | 2.0 | 4.9% | 1.4d | 1.2d ago · 101× | 38% ±39 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 12% ±10 | 39% ±36 | 59% ±68 | 64% | 1.4d | — | — | 41 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 116,913.25 (-1.5%) | 2.7 | 2.6% | 12h | 1.2d ago · 58× | 17% ±42 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 8% ±12 | 13% ±33 | 13% | 13% | > 7d | — | — | 22 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 113,606.3–115,618.2 (-2.6%) | 4.7 | 0.4% | 2h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 15% ±23 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 2% ±3 | 14% ±21 | 35% ±54 | 86% | 4.4d | — | — | 59 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 106,839–109,033.8 (-8.1%) | 15 | 3.4% | 1.1d | 3.7d ago · 98× | 2% ±9 | 62% ±30 | 31% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 10 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±14 | 2% | > 7d | 1.17% | 0.67% | 59 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 108,668 (-8.4%) | 15 | 3.5% | 1.4d | 22.8d ago · 37× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 86 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 118,677.9 | 117,925.03 | 119,551.7 | target | +1.40% |