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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-07-25 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 122,934.2 (+4.5%) | 8.5 | 0.1% | 17m | 8.2d ago · 38× | 24% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 4% ±7 | 21% ±40 | 67% | 67% | 2.7d | — | — | 25 → 1 |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 119,152.53–119,305.17 (+1.3%) | 2.5 | 3.7% | 21h | 3.8d ago · 89× | 47% ±37 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 17% ±11 | 51% ±35 | 81% ±45 | 90% | 1.1d | — | — | 46 → 1 |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 117,856.07–118,131.4 (+0.2%) | 0.4 | 6.4% | 2.3d | 3.6d ago · 117× | 83% ±30 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 65% ±16 | 83% ±30 | 96% ±27 | 96% | 1h | — | — | 35 → 1 |
| at post · 117,620 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 117,458.95 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 5.0% | 1.5d | 1.2d ago · 101× | 73% ±61 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 69% ±24 | 75% ±60 | 88% | 88% | 2h | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 117,033.6 (-0.5%) | 0.9 | 2.8% | 15h | 1.2d ago · 58× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 4 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 113,606.3–115,618.2 (-1.7%) | 3.2 | 0.4% | 1h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 14% ±25 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 4% ±6 | 13% ±23 | 38% ±55 | 91% | 3.5d | — | — | 47 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 106,839–109,033.8 (-7.3%) | 14 | 3.3% | 1.1d | 3.7d ago · 98× | 2% ±9 | 62% ±30 | 31% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 10 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±14 | 2% | > 7d | 1.17% | 0.67% | 59 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 108,668 (-7.6%) | 14 | 3.4% | 1.3d | 22.8d ago · 37× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 84 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 117,620 | 117,458.95 | 119,152.53 | target | +0.12% |
| 14d | POC | short | 117,620 | 117,033.6 | 119,305.17 | target | +0.12% |
| 30d | POC | short | 117,620 | 108,668 | 122,934.2 | expired | +0.12% |