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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-07-25 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 122,934.2 (+5.9%) | 10 | 0.1% | 20m | 8.2d ago · 38× | 15% ±50 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 5% ±11 | 12% ±36 | 12% | 12% | > 7d | — | — | 17 → 1 |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 119,173.93–119,354.4 (+2.7%) | 4.6 | 3.9% | 22h | 3.8d ago · 89× | 30% ±27 | 69% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 5% ±5 | 31% ±27 | 61% ±48 | 73% ±62 | 2.9d | 1.74% | 0.72% | 65 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 117,833.7–118,222.52 (+1.5%) | 2.6 | 6.9% | 2.5d | 3.6d ago · 117× | building | building | building | building | building | 9 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 117,328.78 (+1.1%) | 1.9 | 5.1% | 1.4d | 1.3d ago · 77× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 3 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 116,970.6 (+0.8%) | 1.3 | 3.0% | 15h | 1.4d ago · 51× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 0 → 0 |
| HVN zone | 116,898.5–119,276.2 (+0.7%) | 1.2 | 2.8% | 13h | 1.3d ago · 80× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| at post · 116,043.6 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 113,606.3–115,435.3 (-0.5%) | 0.9 | 0.6% | 1h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 35% ±54 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 30% ±21 | 35% ±54 | 60% | 95% | 2.7d | — | — | 18 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 106,839–109,033.8 (-6.0%) | 10 | 3.6% | 1.2d | 3.7d ago · 98× | 2% ±10 | 62% ±30 | 31% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 10 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±15 | 2% | > 7d | 1.17% | 0.67% | 52 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 108,668 (-6.4%) | 11 | 3.7% | 1.5d | 22.8d ago · 37× | 2% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | — | — | 70 → 2 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.