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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-07-25 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,521 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.12) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 122,934.2 (+5.8%) | 9.1 | 0.2% | 24m | 8.3d ago · 38× | 14% ±40 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 4% ±7 | 12% ±32 | 35% | 35% | > 7d | — | — | 25 → 1 |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 119,342.52–119,674.27 (+2.8%) | 4.3 | 3.4% | 18h | 3.9d ago · 89× | 34% ±28 | 69% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 5% ±5 | 33% ±27 | 64% ±47 | 73% ±61 | 3.0d | 1.74% | 0.72% | 70 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 117,818.24–118,131.47 (+1.4%) | 2.2 | 7.4% | 2.7d | 3.7d ago · 117× | 79% ±57 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 25% ±23 | 77% ±58 | 94% | 94% | 12h | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 116,911.8–116,976.75 (+0.7%) | 1.0 | 3.1% | 15h | 1.2d ago · 77× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 116,898.5–119,276.2 (+0.7%) | 1.0 | 3.1% | 15h | 1.4d ago · 80× | 82% ±43 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 63% ±23 | 82% ±43 | 95% | 95% | 1h | — | — | 17 → 1 |
| at post · 116,143.4 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 113,606.3–114,886.6 (-1.1%) | 1.7 | 0.5% | 54m | 1.1d ago · 47× | 22% ±41 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 21% ±15 | 28% ±39 | 52% ±69 | 97% | 3.0d | — | — | 27 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 109,033.8 (-6.1%) | 9.5 | 3.9% | 1.3d | 22.9d ago · 37× | 2% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±15 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 56 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 106,839–109,033.8 (-6.1%) | 9.5 | 3.9% | 1.3d | 3.8d ago · 98× | 2% ±10 | 62% ±30 | 31% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 10 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±15 | 2% | > 7d | 1.17% | 0.67% | 51 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.