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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-07-25 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 122,934.2 (+5.1%) | 7.7 | 0.2% | 25m | 8.2d ago · 38× | 23% ±37 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±5 | 21% ±32 | 53% ±69 | 53% | 2.9d | — | — | 35 → 1 |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 119,342.52–119,587.94 (+2.0%) | 3.0 | 3.5% | 18h | 3.8d ago · 89× | 41% ±32 | 69% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 8% ±7 | 39% ±30 | 72% ±51 | 81% | 1.6d | 1.74% | 0.72% | 59 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 118,087.35–118,422.52 (+0.9%) | 1.4 | 7.6% | 2.6d | 3.6d ago · 117× | 80% ±39 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 45% ±19 | 76% ±37 | 92% ±37 | 92% | 6h | — | — | 27 → 1 |
| at post · 117,011.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 116,739.15–116,864.09 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 3.2% | 15h | 1.2d ago · 101× | 75% ±60 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 71% ±23 | 76% ±48 | 88% | 88% | 2h | — | — | 15 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 113,606.3–114,886.6 (-1.8%) | 2.8 | 0.5% | 55m | 1.4d ago · 47× | 13% ±27 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 9% ±9 | 19% ±29 | 52% ±69 | 93% | 3.0d | — | — | 41 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 109,033.8 (-6.8%) | 10 | 3.9% | 1.4d | 22.8d ago · 37× | 2% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | — | — | 70 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 107,021.9–109,033.8 (-6.8%) | 10 | 3.9% | 1.4d | 3.7d ago · 98× | 2% ±10 | 62% ±30 | 31% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 10 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±15 | 2% | > 7d | 1.17% | 0.67% | 56 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 117,011.2 | 118,131.47 | 116,417.97 | target | +0.78% |
| 14d | VAL | long | 117,011.2 | 118,422.52 | 116,226.37 | expired | +0.78% |