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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-07-29 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 122,934.2 (+3.7%) | 8.4 | <0.1% | 14m | 8.2d ago · 38× | 13% ±27 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±5 | 12% ±24 | 26% ±61 | 26% | > 7d | — | — | 42 → 1 |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 119,443.29–119,567.84 (+0.8%) | 1.8 | 2.5% | 16h | 3.8d ago · 89× | 65% ±33 | 71% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 30% ±13 | 62% ±34 | 86% ±39 | 92% | 13h | 1.72% | 0.72% | 48 → 1 | |
| at post · 118,491.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 118,087.35–118,187.8 (-0.3%) | 0.6 | 6.4% | 2.5d | 3.5d ago · 115× | 84% ±27 | 63% ±26 | 13% ±18 | 23% ±23 | 13 | 64% ±15 | 85% ±27 | 90% ±42 | 90% | 2h | 1.37% | 0.37% | 40 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 117,118.14–117,258.39 (-1.0%) | 2.3 | 4.0% | 1.2d | 1.2d ago · 101× | 41% ±32 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 8% ±7 | 40% ±32 | 62% ±55 | 72% | 1.4d | — | — | 54 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 113,606.3–114,886.6 (-3.0%) | 6.8 | 0.3% | 35m | 1.4d ago · 47× | 20% ±25 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 2% ±3 | 19% ±23 | 53% ±49 | 94% ±32 | 2.7d | — | — | 64 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 110,862.8 (-6.4%) | 14 | 0.9% | 6h | 22.8d ago · 37× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 99 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 107,387.7–109,216.7 (-7.8%) | 18 | 2.3% | 17h | 3.7d ago · 98× | 1% ±6 | 62% ±30 | 31% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | 1.17% | 0.67% | 85 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.