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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-07-29 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 122,934.2 (+3.4%) | 7.8 | <0.1% | 13m | 8.2d ago · 38× | 16% ±27 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±4 | 15% ±25 | 32% ±53 | 32% | > 7d | — | — | 48 → 1 |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 119,443.29–119,567.84 (+0.5%) | 1.1 | 2.5% | 15h | 3.8d ago · 89× | 75% ±35 | 71% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 49% ±16 | 70% ±37 | 92% ±38 | 94% | 7h | 1.72% | 0.72% | 37 → 1 | |
| at post · 118,887.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 118,087.35–118,187.8 (-0.6%) | 1.4 | 6.3% | 2.4d | 3.5d ago · 115× | 73% ±33 | 63% ±26 | 13% ±18 | 23% ±23 | 13 | 45% ±14 | 74% ±30 | 86% ±39 | 86% | 6h | 1.37% | 0.37% | 47 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 117,180.98–117,258.39 (-1.4%) | 3.1 | 3.9% | 1.2d | 1.2d ago · 101× | 32% ±28 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 5% ±5 | 30% ±27 | 49% ±49 | 61% ±68 | 3.1d | — | — | 68 → 2 |
| LVN zone | 113,606.3–114,886.6 (-3.4%) | 7.7 | 0.3% | 34m | 1.4d ago · 47× | 22% ±29 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 2% ±4 | 21% ±27 | 50% ±57 | 92% | 3.5d | — | — | 53 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 110,862.8 (-6.8%) | 15 | 0.8% | 6h | 22.8d ago · 37× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±13 | > 7d | — | — | 103 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 107,570.6–109,216.7 (-8.1%) | 19 | 2.2% | 16h | 3.7d ago · 98× | 1% ±6 | 62% ±30 | 31% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | 1.17% | 0.67% | 80 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.