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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-07-30 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 122,934.2 (+4.4%) | 10 | <0.1% | 13m | 8.1d ago · 38× | 5% ±16 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±4 | 4% ±14 | 4% ±23 | 4% | > 7d | — | — | 45 → 1 |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 119,317.61–119,400.42 (+1.4%) | 3.1 | 3.0% | 19h | 3.7d ago · 89× | 36% ±26 | 71% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 9% ±6 | 34% ±25 | 75% ±38 | 85% ±50 | 1.6d | 1.72% | 0.72% | 81 → 2 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 117,904.45–118,092.19 (+0.2%) | 0.4 | 7.2% | 3.0d | 3.5d ago · 117× | 88% ±24 | 25% ±25 | 18% ±22 | 57% ±28 | 12 | 73% ±13 | 89% ±21 | 97% ±19 | 97% | 1h | 0.73% | 0.95% | 46 → 1 | |
| at post · 117,697 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 117,188.2–117,243.82 (-0.4%) | 0.9 | 4.2% | 1.2d | 2.3d ago · 100× | 62% ±39 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 41% ±15 | 68% ±35 | 80% ±56 | 87% | 7h | — | — | 40 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 113,606.3–114,886.6 (-2.4%) | 5.4 | 0.3% | 34m | 1.3d ago · 47× | 20% ±23 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 3% ±4 | 19% ±21 | 50% ±49 | 92% ±37 | 3.5d | — | — | 75 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 113,423.4 (-3.6%) | 8.2 | 0.5% | 2h | 22.7d ago · 37× | 2% ±11 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 2% ±16 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 48 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 107,936.4–109,399.6 (-7.0%) | 16 | 2.1% | 14h | 3.6d ago · 98× | 1% ±6 | 62% ±30 | 31% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | 1.17% | 0.67% | 89 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 117,697 | 117,188.2 | 119,400.42 | target | -0.68% |
| 30d | POC | short | 117,697 | 113,423.4 | 122,934.2 | expired | -0.68% |