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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-07-30 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 122,934.2 (+4.9%) | 9.9 | 0.1% | 15m | 8.1d ago · 38× | 5% ±16 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±4 | 4% ±14 | 4% ±23 | 4% | > 7d | — | — | 46 → 1 |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 119,317.61–119,400.42 (+1.9%) | 3.7 | 3.3% | 21h | 3.7d ago · 89× | 36% ±25 | 71% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 7% ±5 | 34% ±24 | 74% ±38 | 83% ±52 | 1.7d | 1.72% | 0.72% | 89 → 2 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 117,904.45–118,092.19 (+0.7%) | 1.3 | 8.1% | 3.3d | 3.5d ago · 117× | 87% ±25 | 28% ±25 | 17% ±21 | 55% ±28 | 12 | 57% ±14 | 89% ±22 | 97% ±20 | 97% | 3h | 0.74% | 0.89% | 45 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 117,180.98 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 4.3% | 1.1d | 1.3d ago · 51× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 1 → 1 |
| at post · 117,138.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 116,930.97 (-0.2%) | 0.4 | 2.9% | 14h | 3.2d ago · 100× | 70% ±45 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 64% ±18 | 75% ±42 | 82% | 93% | 2h | — | — | 26 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 113,606.3–114,886.6 (-1.9%) | 3.9 | 0.4% | 40m | 1.3d ago · 47× | 22% ±26 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 3% ±4 | 21% ±24 | 55% ±49 | 94% ±33 | 2.7d | — | — | 66 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 114,337.9 (-2.4%) | 4.8 | <0.1% | 4m | 22.7d ago · 37× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 5 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 107,936.4–109,399.6 (-6.6%) | 13 | 2.3% | 16h | 3.6d ago · 98× | 1% ±6 | 62% ±30 | 31% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | 1.17% | 0.67% | 80 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 117,138.9 | 117,934.18 | 116,486.47 | target | -0.59% |