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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-07-31 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 122,751.3 (+3.7%) | 7.4 | 0.2% | 43m | 8.1d ago · 38× | 13% ±22 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±3 | 12% ±20 | 29% ±51 | 29% | > 7d | — | — | 59 → 1 |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 119,317.61–119,348.98 (+0.8%) | 1.6 | 3.4% | 21h | 3.7d ago · 89× | 61% ±34 | 71% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 34% ±14 | 60% ±34 | 86% ±39 | 92% | 12h | 1.72% | 0.72% | 47 → 1 | |
| at post · 118,368.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 117,904.45–118,092.19 (-0.2%) | 0.5 | 8.1% | 3.4d | 3.3d ago · 115× | 86% ±24 | 56% ±25 | 12% ±16 | 32% ±24 | 15 | 66% ±14 | 87% ±24 | 91% ±32 | 91% | 2h | 1.35% | 0.42% | 47 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 117,243.82 (-1.0%) | 1.9 | 4.9% | 1.4d | 2.3d ago · 57× | 57% ±56 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 17% ±16 | 61% ±48 | 78% | 96% | 19h | — | — | 21 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 116,879.52 (-1.3%) | 2.5 | 2.9% | 13h | 3.2d ago · 100× | 48% ±31 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 11% ±8 | 50% ±31 | 64% ±54 | 72% | 1.0d | — | — | 62 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 113,606.3–114,886.6 (-2.9%) | 5.9 | 0.4% | 40m | 1.3d ago · 47× | 18% ±22 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 3% ±4 | 17% ±21 | 49% ±49 | 92% ±38 | 3.5d | — | — | 76 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 114,703.7 (-3.1%) | 6.2 | 0.2% | 13m | 22.7d ago · 37× | 6% ±34 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 5% ±11 | 5% ±25 | 5% | 5% | > 7d | — | — | 17 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 107,936.4–109,399.6 (-7.6%) | 15 | 2.3% | 16h | 3.6d ago · 98× | 1% ±6 | 62% ±30 | 31% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | 1.17% | 0.67% | 85 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 118,368.5 | 119,348.98 | 116,879.52 | stop | -2.54% |
| 14d | POC | long | 118,368.5 | 119,317.61 | 117,243.82 | stop | -2.54% |
| 30d | POC | long | 118,368.5 | 122,751.3 | 114,703.7 | stop | -2.54% |