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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-07-31 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 122,568.4 (+3.5%) | 7.0 | 0.3% | 1h | 8.2d ago · 38× | 18% ±25 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±3 | 17% ±23 | 35% ±54 | 35% | > 7d | — | — | 61 → 1 |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 119,317.61–119,400.42 (+0.7%) | 1.4 | 3.3% | 21h | 3.7d ago · 89× | 63% ±33 | 71% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 37% ±14 | 62% ±34 | 88% ±37 | 93% | 12h | 1.72% | 0.72% | 47 → 1 | |
| at post · 118,472.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 117,904.45–118,092.19 (-0.3%) | 0.6 | 8.1% | 3.4d | 3.4d ago · 115× | 84% ±26 | 56% ±25 | 12% ±16 | 32% ±24 | 15 | 63% ±13 | 85% ±24 | 91% ±32 | 91% | 2h | 1.35% | 0.42% | 53 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 117,180.98 (-1.1%) | 2.2 | 4.4% | 1.2d | 2.4d ago · 57× | 56% ±49 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 14% ±13 | 59% ±48 | 81% | 96% | 19h | — | — | 26 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 116,879.52 (-1.3%) | 2.7 | 2.8% | 13h | 3.2d ago · 100× | 43% ±29 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 7% ±6 | 45% ±28 | 62% ±48 | 69% ±64 | 1.2d | — | — | 70 → 2 |
| LVN zone | 113,606.3–114,886.6 (-3.0%) | 6.1 | 0.4% | 40m | 1.3d ago · 47× | 18% ±22 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 2% ±3 | 17% ±20 | 47% ±49 | 91% ±39 | 3.7d | — | — | 78 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 114,703.7 (-3.2%) | 6.4 | 0.2% | 13m | 22.7d ago · 37× | 5% ±24 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 4% ±8 | 4% ±19 | 4% | 4% | > 7d | — | — | 23 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 107,936.4–109,399.6 (-7.7%) | 16 | 2.3% | 16h | 3.6d ago · 98× | 1% ±6 | 62% ±30 | 31% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | 1.17% | 0.67% | 89 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.