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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-01 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 121,036.52–121,198.2 (+5.7%) | 9.6 | 0.5% | 1h | 1.9d ago · 54× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 120,551.49 (+5.2%) | 8.9 | 0.7% | 3h | 8.1d ago · 38× | 7% ±17 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±3 | 7% ±16 | 13% ±39 | 13% | > 7d | — | — | 58 → 1 |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 119,300.98–119,351.49 (+4.1%) | 7.0 | 3.9% | 1.1d | 3.7d ago · 89× | 29% ±30 | 71% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 4% ±5 | 28% ±29 | 59% ±56 | 70% | 3.0d | 1.72% | 0.72% | 55 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 117,941.17–118,045.5 (+3.0%) | 5.0 | 9.9% | 4.0d | 3.5d ago · 117× | building | 29% ±25 | 16% ±20 | 55% ±27 | 13 | 8% ±17 | 66% ±66 | 92% | 92% | 18h | 0.91% | 0.84% | 10 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 117,115.41 (+2.2%) | 3.8 | 4.5% | 1.1d | 1.3d ago · 51× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 3 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 116,645.98 (+1.8%) | 3.1 | 3.1% | 13h | 1.2d ago · 77× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 4 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 116,509.57–119,581.43 (+1.7%) | 2.9 | 3.0% | 12h | 1.2d ago · 80× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 114,892.8 (+0.3%) | 0.5 | 0.8% | 2h | 23.7d ago · 35× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 0 → 0 |
| at post · 114,552.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 111,659.26–113,276.03 (-1.1%) | 1.9 | 0.5% | 2h | 1.3d ago · 47× | 24% ±38 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 19% ±14 | 29% ±40 | 52% ±69 | 97% | 3.0d | — | — | 29 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 108,587.39–109,395.78 (-4.5%) | 7.6 | 2.6% | 18h | 3.6d ago · 98× | 5% ±16 | 62% ±30 | 31% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 10 | 2% ±4 | 5% ±15 | 5% ±29 | 5% | > 7d | 1.17% | 0.67% | 43 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | short | 114,552.3 | 109,476.62 | 118,045.5 | expired | +0.80% |